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  • All (18)
  • US Politics (18)
    • Republican Political Future Index
    • Democrat Political Future Index
    • Presidential (R)
    • Presidential (D)
    • Senate (R)
    • Senate (D)
    • House (R)
    • House (D)
    • Gubernatorial (R)
    • Gubernatorial (D)
    • Mayoral (R)
    • Mayoral (D)
    • BLUE Battleground Index
    • BLUE Battleground Gubernatorial Index
    • RED Battleground Gubernatorial Index
    • BLUE Battleground House Index
    • RED Battleground House Index
    • Misery Implied Index
  • Sports (28)
  1. Indices
  2. ·
  3. US Politics

US Politics · SEND

Senate (D)

Tracking Democrat Senate Races

105.81

50 = 0% · 100 = neutral · 150 = 100%

1D change

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7D change

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Markets

67

Implied probability

55.8%

Senate (D) is at 105.8 on Adjacent's 50–150 UPFI scale, implying 55.8% aggregate win probability for the tracked party.

Index history

Daily closes plus the current level.

105.9105.8105.8105.7Oct 24Oct 24Oct 24

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys, Home, or End to inspect observations.

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 4:19 PM UTCRange 105.81–105.81

Constituents

No constituent data is currently available.

Recent observations

Daily Adjacent index levels, newest first.

SettlementValue

About this index

How Senate (D) is calculated

Adjacent applies its UPFI methodology to live prediction markets. Weights reflect contract activity and time to resolution for Presidential and Senate races, and jurisdiction population for House, Gubernatorial, and Mayoral races.

Structure
Market basket
Coverage
Senate
Methodology
upfi
Status
Live
Source
Adjacent

Key drivers

Market basket

67 tracked markets

Calculated with Adjacent UPFI methodology

Trailing changes

Trailing returns calculated by Adjacent across standard periods.

1D
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1W
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1M
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3M
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YTD
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1Y
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