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  • All (18)
  • US Politics (18)
    • Republican Political Future Index
    • Democrat Political Future Index
    • Presidential (R)
    • Presidential (D)
    • Senate (R)
    • Senate (D)
    • House (R)
    • House (D)
    • Gubernatorial (R)
    • Gubernatorial (D)
    • Mayoral (R)
    • Mayoral (D)
    • BLUE Battleground Index
    • BLUE Battleground Gubernatorial Index
    • RED Battleground Gubernatorial Index
    • BLUE Battleground House Index
    • RED Battleground House Index
    • Misery Implied Index
  • Sports (28)
  1. Indices
  2. ·
  3. US Politics

US Politics · HOUSED

House (D)

Tracking Democrat House races

106.80

50 = 0% · 100 = neutral · 150 = 100%

1D change

—

7D change

—

Markets

426

Implied probability

56.8%

House (D) is at 106.8 on Adjacent's 50–150 UPFI scale, implying 56.8% aggregate win probability for the tracked party.

Index history

Daily closes plus the current level.

106.9106.8106.8106.7Oct 26Oct 26Oct 26

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys, Home, or End to inspect observations.

Updated Oct 26, 2026, 5:04 AM UTCRange 106.80–106.80

Constituents

No constituent data is currently available.

Recent observations

Daily Adjacent index levels, newest first.

SettlementValue

About this index

How House (D) is calculated

Adjacent applies its UPFI methodology to live prediction markets. Weights reflect contract activity and time to resolution for Presidential and Senate races, and jurisdiction population for House, Gubernatorial, and Mayoral races.

Structure
Market basket
Coverage
House
Methodology
upfi
Status
Live
Source
Adjacent

Key drivers

Market basket

426 tracked markets

Calculated with Adjacent UPFI methodology

Trailing changes

Trailing returns calculated by Adjacent across standard periods.

1D
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1W
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1M
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3M
—
YTD
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1Y
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