US Politics · MAYORR

Halted

Mayoral (R)

Tracking Republican Mayoral races

Only 0 of 5 required constituents are priced; the last computed value is carried forward, not live.

Last published level

100.00

50 = 0% · 100 = neutral · 150 = 100%

1D change

+0.0 pts

7D change

+0.0 pts

Markets

1

Implied probability

50.0%

Mayoral (R) is at 100.0 on Adjacent's 50–150 UPFI scale, implying 50.0% aggregate win probability for the tracked party.

Index history

Daily closes plus the current level.

100.1100.0100.099.9Jun 27Jul 11Jul 26

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys, Home, or End to inspect observations.

Updated Jul 26, 2026, 10:00 PM UTCRange 100.00–100.00

Constituents

Current prediction markets, weights, geography, and scheduled expirations.

  • KXMAYORLA-26-SPRA

    Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?

    Flat
    Level
    0.16
    Weight
    100.0%
    30D
    +0.0 pts
    Expires
    Jun 8, 2026

    LA · kalshi

Probability distribution

Underlying markets grouped by their current Yes probability.

1 market

0–10%
0 · 0.0%
10–20%
0 · 0.0%
20–30%
0 · 0.0%
30–40%
0 · 0.0%
40–50%
0 · 0.0%
50–60%
1 · 100.0%
60–70%
0 · 0.0%
70–80%
0 · 0.0%
80–90%
0 · 0.0%
90–100%
0 · 0.0%

Recent observations

Daily Adjacent index levels, newest first.

SettlementValue
Jul 25, 2026100.00
Jul 24, 2026100.00
Jul 23, 2026100.00
Jul 22, 2026100.00
Jul 21, 2026100.00
Jul 20, 2026100.00
Jul 19, 2026100.00
Jul 18, 2026100.00
Jul 17, 2026100.00
Jul 16, 2026100.00
Show 74 older daily observations
SettlementValue
Jul 15, 2026100.00
Jul 14, 2026100.00
Jul 13, 2026100.00
Jul 12, 2026100.00
Jul 11, 2026100.00
Jul 10, 2026100.00
Jul 9, 2026100.00
Jul 8, 2026100.00
Jul 7, 2026100.00
Jul 6, 2026100.00
Jul 5, 2026100.00
Jul 4, 2026100.00
Jul 3, 2026100.00
Jul 2, 2026100.00
Jul 1, 2026100.00
Jun 30, 2026100.00
Jun 29, 2026100.00
Jun 28, 2026100.00
Jun 27, 2026100.00
Jun 26, 2026100.00
Jun 25, 2026100.00
Jun 8, 202651.22
Jun 7, 202651.62
Jun 6, 202654.03
Jun 5, 202656.29
Jun 4, 202658.69
Jun 3, 202663.06
Jun 2, 202672.37
Jun 1, 202675.83
May 31, 202675.88
May 30, 202675.25
May 29, 202673.79
May 28, 202674.41
May 27, 202676.50
May 26, 202676.50
May 25, 202676.50
May 24, 202676.50
May 23, 202675.79
May 22, 202676.21
May 21, 202676.02
May 20, 202677.38
May 19, 202678.00
May 18, 202677.38
May 17, 202675.75
May 16, 202675.98
May 15, 202675.83
May 14, 202675.38
May 13, 202680.02
May 12, 202683.15
May 11, 202681.29
May 10, 202679.46
May 9, 202680.42
May 8, 202677.29
May 7, 202673.28
May 6, 202667.19
May 5, 202667.73
May 4, 202669.71
May 3, 202674.52
May 2, 202673.08
May 1, 202674.33
Apr 30, 202672.09
Apr 29, 202667.84
Apr 28, 202667.17
Apr 27, 202666.83
Apr 26, 202666.39
Apr 25, 202666.72
Apr 24, 202666.02
Apr 23, 202668.60
Apr 22, 202665.93
Apr 21, 202664.63
Apr 20, 202663.31
Apr 19, 202668.00
Apr 18, 202669.92
Apr 17, 202670.75