US Politics · BLUE

Democrat Political Future Index

Composite of Democrat party-line contests across all levels of office in the United States

105.62

50 = 0% · 100 = neutral · 150 = 100%

1D change

—

7D change

—

Sub-indices

5

Implied probability

55.6%

Democrat Political Future Index is at 105.6 on Adjacent's 50–150 UPFI scale, implying 55.6% aggregate win probability for the tracked party.

Index history

Daily closes plus the current level.

106.8106.3105.7105.1Aug 12Aug 26Sep 10

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Updated Sep 10, 2026, 10:05 PM UTCRange 105.28–106.68

Constituents

No constituent data is currently available.

Recent observations

Daily Adjacent index levels, newest first.

SettlementValue
Sep 9, 2026105.59
Sep 8, 2026105.65
Sep 7, 2026105.58
Sep 6, 2026105.88
Sep 5, 2026106.07
Sep 4, 2026105.96
Sep 3, 2026106.13
Sep 2, 2026106.25
Sep 1, 2026106.68
Aug 31, 2026106.46
Show 21 older daily observations
SettlementValue
Aug 30, 2026105.93
Aug 29, 2026105.67
Aug 28, 2026105.73
Aug 27, 2026105.53
Aug 26, 2026105.49
Aug 25, 2026105.79
Aug 24, 2026105.28
Aug 23, 2026105.32
Aug 22, 2026105.53
Aug 21, 2026105.48
Aug 20, 2026105.45
Aug 19, 2026105.47
Aug 18, 2026105.46
Aug 17, 2026105.55
Aug 16, 2026105.93
Aug 15, 2026105.95
Aug 14, 2026106.12
Aug 13, 2026105.71
Aug 12, 2026105.78
Aug 11, 2026105.20
Aug 10, 2026105.20