Indices

Indices combine prediction markets into coherent benchmarks for real-world trends.

US Politics · RED

Republican Political Future Index

Composite of Republican party-line contests across all levels of office in the United States

98.8

+2.6 today

Index history

Daily closes plus the current level.

99.498.297.095.7Aug 7Aug 21Sep 6

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys, Home, or End to inspect observations.

Updated Sep 6, 2026, 2:29 AM UTCRange 96.1099.02
Implied probability
48.8%
Sub-markets
5

US Politics · BLUE

Democrat Political Future Index

Composite of Democrat party-line contests across all levels of office in the United States

106.1

Implied probability
56.1%
Sub-markets
5

US Politics · PRESR

Presidential (R)

Tracking the Republican Presidency

91.5

Implied probability
41.5%
Sub-markets
1

US Politics · PRESD

Presidential (D)

Tracking the Democrat Presidency

108.0

Implied probability
58.0%
Sub-markets
1

US Politics · SENR

Senate (R)

Tracking Republican Senate Races

104.3

Implied probability
54.3%
Sub-markets
67

US Politics · SEND

Senate (D)

Tracking Democrat Senate Races

103.1

Implied probability
53.1%
Sub-markets
67

US Politics · HOUSER

House (R)

Tracking Republican House races

107.5

+7.3 today

Implied probability
57.5%
Sub-markets
426

US Politics · HOUSED

House (D)

Tracking Democrat House races

106.1

Implied probability
56.1%
Sub-markets
426

US Politics · GOVR

Gubernatorial (R)

Tracking Republican Gubernatorial races

93.4

Implied probability
43.4%
Sub-markets
49

US Politics · GOVD

Gubernatorial (D)

Tracking Democrat Gubernatorial races

107.6

Implied probability
57.6%
Sub-markets
49

US Politics · MAYORR

Mayoral (R)

Tracking Republican Mayoral races

100.0

Halted
Implied probability
50.0%
Sub-markets
0

US Politics · MAYORD

Mayoral (D)

Tracking Democrat Mayoral races

113.5

Halted
Implied probability
63.5%
Sub-markets
1

US Politics · ARINTI

NFL Team Index: Arizona

Live NTI for Arizona. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

992.7

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · ATLNTI

NFL Team Index: Atlanta

Live NTI for Atlanta. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

1012.0

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · BALNTI

NFL Team Index: Baltimore

Live NTI for Baltimore. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

986.0

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · BLUBTL

BLUE Battleground Index

A real-time, market-implied measure of Democratic political advantage across U.S. battleground states.

117.3

Implied probability
67.3%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · BUFNTI

NFL Team Index: Buffalo

Live NTI for Buffalo. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

982.3

+25.6 today

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · CARNTI

NFL Team Index: Carolina

Live NTI for Carolina. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

921.6

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · CHINTI

NFL Team Index: Chicago

Live NTI for Chicago. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

933.8

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · CINNTI

NFL Team Index: Cincinnati

Live NTI for Cincinnati. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

956.8

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · CLENTI

NFL Team Index: Cleveland

Live NTI for Cleveland. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

999.0

+2.3 today

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · DALNTI

NFL Team Index: Dallas

Live NTI for Dallas. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

1000.0

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · DENNTI

NFL Team Index: Denver

Live NTI for Denver. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

1068.8

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · DETNTI

NFL Team Index: Detroit

Live NTI for Detroit. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

1003.8

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · GBNTI

NFL Team Index: Green Bay

Live NTI for Green Bay. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

991.4

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · GOVBGD

BLUE Battleground Gubernatorial Index

A real-time, market-implied measure of Democratic advantage in gubernatorial races across battleground states.

122.9

Implied probability
72.9%
Sub-markets
7

US Politics · GOVBGR

RED Battleground Gubernatorial Index

A real-time, market-implied measure of Republican advantage in gubernatorial races across battleground states.

74.9

Implied probability
24.9%
Sub-markets
7

US Politics · HOUNTI

NFL Team Index: Houston

Live NTI for Houston. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

985.2

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · HOUBGD

BLUE Battleground House Index

A real-time, market-implied measure of Democratic advantage in U.S. House races across battleground states.

100.0

Implied probability
50.0%
Sub-markets
79

US Politics · HOUBGR

RED Battleground House Index

A real-time, market-implied measure of Republican advantage in U.S. House races across battleground states.

111.4

+6.6 today

Implied probability
61.4%
Sub-markets
79

US Politics · INDNTI

NFL Team Index: Indianapolis

Live NTI for Indianapolis. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

900.9

+6.2 today

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · JACNTI

NFL Team Index: Jacksonville

Live NTI for Jacksonville. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

934.2

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · KCNTI

NFL Team Index: Kansas City

Live NTI for Kansas City. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

1027.8

-7.2 today

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · LACNTI

NFL Team Index: LA Chargers

Live NTI for LA Chargers. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

964.0

+8.9 today

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · LARNTI

NFL Team Index: LA Rams

Live NTI for LA Rams. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

1007.4

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · LVNTI

NFL Team Index: Las Vegas

Live NTI for Las Vegas. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

995.1

+6.5 today

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · MIANTI

NFL Team Index: Miami

Live NTI for Miami. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

999.5

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · MINNTI

NFL Team Index: Minnesota

Live NTI for Minnesota. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

1028.9

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · NENTI

NFL Team Index: New England

Live NTI for New England. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

1019.1

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · NONTI

NFL Team Index: New Orleans

Live NTI for New Orleans. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

1007.9

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · NYGNTI

NFL Team Index: NY Giants

Live NTI for NY Giants. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

997.5

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · NYJNTI

NFL Team Index: NY Jets

Live NTI for NY Jets. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

1006.0

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · PHINTI

NFL Team Index: Philadelphia

Live NTI for Philadelphia. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

956.8

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · PITNTI

NFL Team Index: Pittsburgh

Live NTI for Pittsburgh. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

925.6

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · REDBTL

RED Battleground Index

A real-time, market-implied measure of Republican political advantage across U.S. battleground states.

85.4

Implied probability
35.4%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · SEANTI

NFL Team Index: Seattle

Live NTI for Seattle. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

962.1

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · SENBGD

BLUE Battleground Senate Index

A real-time, market-implied measure of Democratic advantage in U.S. Senate races across battleground states.

125.3

Implied probability
75.3%
Sub-markets
9

US Politics · SENBGR

RED Battleground Senate Index

A real-time, market-implied measure of Republican advantage in U.S. Senate races across battleground states.

75.0

Implied probability
25.0%
Sub-markets
9

US Politics · SFNTI

NFL Team Index: San Francisco

Live NTI for San Francisco. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

1006.9

+4.3 today

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · TBNTI

NFL Team Index: Tampa Bay

Live NTI for Tampa Bay. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

986.3

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · TENNTI

NFL Team Index: Tennessee

Live NTI for Tennessee. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

956.2

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4

US Politics · WASNTI

NFL Team Index: Washington

Live NTI for Washington. Buy-and-hold NAV over Super Bowl, conference, division, and win-total rates.

997.1

Implied probability
100.0%
Sub-markets
4