Indices
Indices combine prediction markets into coherent benchmarks for real-world trends.
US Politics · RED
Republican Political Future Index
Composite of Republican party-line contests across all levels of office in the United States
94.2
-2.1 today
Daily closes plus the current level.
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- Implied probability
- 44.2%
- Sub-markets
- 5
US Politics · BLUE
Democrat Political Future Index
Composite of Democrat party-line contests across all levels of office in the United States
107.4
+0.7 today
- Implied probability
- 57.4%
- Sub-markets
- 5
US Politics · PRESR
Presidential (R)
Tracking the Republican Presidency
90.5
-1.0 today
- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Sub-markets
- 1
US Politics · PRESD
Presidential (D)
Tracking the Democrat Presidency
108.5
+0.0 today
- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Sub-markets
- 1
US Politics · SENR
Senate (R)
Tracking Republican Senate Races
97.4
-4.9 today
- Implied probability
- 47.4%
- Sub-markets
- 67
US Politics · SEND
Senate (D)
Tracking Democrat Senate Races
106.1
+1.0 today
- Implied probability
- 56.1%
- Sub-markets
- 67
US Politics · HOUSER
House (R)
Tracking Republican House races
98.2
+0.1 today
- Implied probability
- 48.2%
- Sub-markets
- 426
US Politics · HOUSED
House (D)
Tracking Democrat House races
106.5
+1.2 today
- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Sub-markets
- 426
US Politics · GOVR
Gubernatorial (R)
Tracking Republican Gubernatorial races
90.2
-2.1 today
- Implied probability
- 40.2%
- Sub-markets
- 49
US Politics · GOVD
Gubernatorial (D)
Tracking Democrat Gubernatorial races
108.8
+1.5 today
- Implied probability
- 58.8%
- Sub-markets
- 49
US Politics · MAYORR
Mayoral (R)
Tracking Republican Mayoral races
100.0
- Implied probability
- 50.0%
- Sub-markets
- 0
US Politics · MAYORD
Mayoral (D)
Tracking Democrat Mayoral races
113.5
- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Sub-markets
- 1
US Politics · BLUBTL
BLUE Battleground Index
A real-time, market-implied measure of Democratic political advantage across U.S. battleground states.
119.7
+1.1 today
- Implied probability
- 69.7%
- Sub-markets
- 4
US Politics · GOVBGD
BLUE Battleground Gubernatorial Index
A real-time, market-implied measure of Democratic advantage in gubernatorial races across battleground states.
127.4
+2.9 today
- Implied probability
- 77.4%
- Sub-markets
- 7
US Politics · GOVBGR
RED Battleground Gubernatorial Index
A real-time, market-implied measure of Republican advantage in gubernatorial races across battleground states.
71.4
-1.7 today
- Implied probability
- 21.4%
- Sub-markets
- 7
US Politics · HOUBGD
BLUE Battleground House Index
A real-time, market-implied measure of Democratic advantage in U.S. House races across battleground states.
101.8
+2.2 today
- Implied probability
- 51.8%
- Sub-markets
- 79
US Politics · HOUBGR
RED Battleground House Index
A real-time, market-implied measure of Republican advantage in U.S. House races across battleground states.
102.1
-0.2 today
- Implied probability
- 52.1%
- Sub-markets
- 79
US Politics · MSRY
Misery Implied Index
Market-implied seasonally adjusted U-3 plus headline CPI-U year-over-year, in percentage points.
8.2
+0.2 today
- Implied probability
- 0.0%
- Sub-markets
- 0