US Politics · RED
Republican Political Future Index
Composite of Republican party-line contests across all levels of office in the United States
98.70
50 = 0% · 100 = neutral · 150 = 100%
1D change
—
7D change
—
Sub-indices
5
Implied probability
48.7%
Republican Political Future Index is at 98.7 on Adjacent's 50–150 UPFI scale, implying 48.7% aggregate win probability for the tracked party.
Daily closes plus the current level.
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Updated Sep 10, 2026, 3:14 AM UTCRange 96.14–99.02
Constituents
No constituent data is currently available.
Recent observations
Daily Adjacent index levels, newest first.
| Settlement | Value |
|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | 98.20 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | 98.17 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | 98.28 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | 98.92 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | 98.51 |
| Sep 3, 2026 | 99.01 |
| Sep 2, 2026 | 99.02 |
| Sep 1, 2026 | 98.54 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | 98.00 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | 97.90 |
Show 21 older daily observations
| Settlement | Value |
|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | 97.89 |
| Aug 28, 2026 | 97.84 |
| Aug 27, 2026 | 98.12 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | 97.96 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | 97.76 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | 98.64 |
| Aug 23, 2026 | 98.73 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | 97.97 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | 98.24 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | 98.30 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | 98.55 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | 98.57 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | 98.87 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | 98.76 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | 98.59 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | 98.43 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | 96.31 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | 96.24 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | 96.14 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | 96.11 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 96.11 |