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  • All (18)
  • US Politics (18)
    • Republican Political Future Index
    • Democrat Political Future Index
    • Presidential (R)
    • Presidential (D)
    • Senate (R)
    • Senate (D)
    • House (R)
    • House (D)
    • Gubernatorial (R)
    • Gubernatorial (D)
    • Mayoral (R)
    • Mayoral (D)
    • BLUE Battleground Index
    • BLUE Battleground Gubernatorial Index
    • RED Battleground Gubernatorial Index
    • BLUE Battleground House Index
    • RED Battleground House Index
    • Misery Implied Index
  • Sports (28)
  1. Indices
  2. ·
  3. US Politics

US Politics · RED

Republican Political Future Index

Composite of Republican party-line contests across all levels of office in the United States

93.68

50 = 0% · 100 = neutral · 150 = 100%

1D change

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7D change

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Sub-indices

5

Implied probability

43.7%

Republican Political Future Index is at 93.7 on Adjacent's 50–150 UPFI scale, implying 43.7% aggregate win probability for the tracked party.

Index history

Daily closes plus the current level.

93.893.793.693.6Oct 25Oct 25Oct 25

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys, Home, or End to inspect observations.

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 6:29 AM UTCRange 93.68–93.68

Constituents

No constituent data is currently available.

Recent observations

Daily Adjacent index levels, newest first.

SettlementValue

About this index

How Republican Political Future Index is calculated

Adjacent combines the Presidential, Senate, House, Gubernatorial, and Mayoral party sub-indices using fixed weights, then applies a trailing one-hour average to the published composite.

Structure
Composite
Coverage
All offices
Methodology
upfi
Status
Live
Source
Adjacent

Key drivers

Index structure

Five office sub-indices

Calculated with Adjacent UPFI methodology

Trailing changes

Trailing returns calculated by Adjacent across standard periods.

1D
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1W
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1M
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3M
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YTD
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1Y
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