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  • All (18)
  • US Politics (18)
    • Republican Political Future Index
    • Democrat Political Future Index
    • Presidential (R)
    • Presidential (D)
    • Senate (R)
    • Senate (D)
    • House (R)
    • House (D)
    • Gubernatorial (R)
    • Gubernatorial (D)
    • Mayoral (R)
    • Mayoral (D)
    • BLUE Battleground Index
    • BLUE Battleground Gubernatorial Index
    • RED Battleground Gubernatorial Index
    • BLUE Battleground House Index
    • RED Battleground House Index
    • Misery Implied Index
  • Sports (28)
  1. Indices
  2. ·
  3. US Politics

US Politics · GOVR

Gubernatorial (R)

Tracking Republican Gubernatorial races

91.07

-0.2 today

50 = 0% · 100 = neutral · 150 = 100%

1D change

-0.2 pts

7D change

-1.9 pts

Markets

49

Implied probability

41.1%

Gubernatorial (R) is at 91.1 on Adjacent's 50–150 UPFI scale, implying 41.1% aggregate win probability for the tracked party.

Index history

Daily closes plus the current level.

94.192.691.189.6Sep 25Oct 9Oct 25

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys, Home, or End to inspect observations.

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 1:57 AM UTCRange 90.03–93.63

Constituents

Current prediction markets, weights, geography, and scheduled expirations.

  • GOVPARTYNY-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in New York

    Down
    Level
    5.00
    Weight
    5.4%
    30D
    -1.0 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    NY · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYCA-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in California

    Up
    Level
    3.50
    Weight
    5.0%
    30D
    +0.5 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    CA · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYTX-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Texas

    Down
    Level
    67.50
    Weight
    4.9%
    30D
    -8.0 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    TX · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYFL-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Florida

    Up
    Level
    82.50
    Weight
    4.6%
    30D
    +4.0 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    FL · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYOH-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Ohio

    Down
    Level
    19.50
    Weight
    4.4%
    30D
    -20.0 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    OH · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYGA-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Georgia

    Down
    Level
    41.50
    Weight
    3.3%
    30D
    -6.0 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    GA · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYMA-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Massachusetts

    Down
    Level
    4.50
    Weight
    3.3%
    30D
    -1.0 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    MA · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYPA-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Pennsylvania

    Down
    Level
    2.50
    Weight
    2.9%
    30D
    -0.5 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    PA · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYIA-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Iowa

    Down
    Level
    14.50
    Weight
    2.8%
    30D
    -2.3 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    IA · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYWI-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Wisconsin

    Up
    Level
    20.50
    Weight
    2.7%
    30D
    +3.0 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    WI · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYAZ-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Arizona

    Down
    Level
    10.50
    Weight
    2.5%
    30D
    -2.0 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    AZ · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYIL-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Illinois

    Up
    Level
    3.00
    Weight
    2.4%
    30D
    +0.5 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    IL · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYMI-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Michigan

    Down
    Level
    7.50
    Weight
    2.4%
    30D
    -0.8 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    MI · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYNV-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Nevada

    Down
    Level
    33.50
    Weight
    2.4%
    30D
    -20.0 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    NV · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYMN-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Minnesota

    Down
    Level
    5.00
    Weight
    2.3%
    30D
    -0.5 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    MN · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYOR-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Oregon

    Up
    Level
    20.00
    Weight
    2.1%
    30D
    +4.0 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    OR · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYCO-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Colorado

    Flat
    Level
    3.50
    Weight
    2.1%
    30D
    +0.0 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    CO · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYTN-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Tennessee

    Down
    Level
    94.00
    Weight
    2.1%
    30D
    -1.5 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    TN · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYMD-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Maryland

    Down
    Level
    3.00
    Weight
    2.1%
    30D
    -0.5 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    MD · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYAL-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Alabama

    Up
    Level
    94.50
    Weight
    2.0%
    30D
    +1.0 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    AL · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYVT-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Vermont

    Down
    Level
    74.50
    Weight
    2.0%
    30D
    -8.5 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    VT · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYSC-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in South Carolina

    Down
    Level
    94.00
    Weight
    2.0%
    30D
    -1.0 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    SC · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYOK-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Oklahoma

    Down
    Level
    90.50
    Weight
    2.0%
    30D
    -1.5 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    OK · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYCT-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Connecticut

    Down
    Level
    3.50
    Weight
    1.9%
    30D
    -0.5 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    CT · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYNM-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Mexico

    Down
    Level
    6.00
    Weight
    1.9%
    30D
    -1.0 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    NM · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYAR-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Arkansas

    Down
    Level
    96.00
    Weight
    1.9%
    30D
    -0.5 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    AR · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYKS-27-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Kansas

    Up
    Level
    74.50
    Weight
    1.8%
    30D
    +2.0 pts
    Expires
    Jan 14, 2028

    KS · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYNE-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Nebraska

    Down
    Level
    85.50
    Weight
    1.8%
    30D
    -6.5 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    NE · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYME-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Maine

    Down
    Level
    4.50
    Weight
    1.8%
    30D
    -1.0 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    ME · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYID-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Idaho

    Down
    Level
    97.00
    Weight
    1.8%
    30D
    -1.0 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    ID · kalshi

  • KXGOVPARTYAK-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Alaska

    Down
    Level
    13.50
    Weight
    1.8%
    30D
    -14.0 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    AK · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYHI-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Hawaii

    Down
    Level
    2.00
    Weight
    1.8%
    30D
    -1.0 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    HI · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYRI-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Rhode Island

    Level
    0.50
    Weight
    0.0%
    30D
    —
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    RI · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYSD-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in South Dakota

    Down
    Level
    97.50
    Weight
    1.8%
    30D
    -0.5 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    SD · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYWY-26-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Wyoming

    Up
    Level
    98.00
    Weight
    1.7%
    30D
    +1.0 pts
    Expires
    Nov 3, 2027

    WY · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYKY-27-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Kentucky

    Down
    Level
    76.50
    Weight
    1.4%
    30D
    -5.0 pts
    Expires
    Nov 1, 2028

    KY · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYLA-27-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Louisiana

    Flat
    Level
    89.50
    Weight
    1.3%
    30D
    +0.0 pts
    Expires
    Nov 12, 2028

    LA · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYMS-27-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Mississippi

    Down
    Level
    87.50
    Weight
    1.3%
    30D
    -4.5 pts
    Expires
    Nov 1, 2028

    MS · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYNC-28-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in North Carolina

    Up
    Level
    32.00
    Weight
    1.1%
    30D
    +0.5 pts
    Expires
    Nov 7, 2029

    NC · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYWA-28-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Washington

    Flat
    Level
    5.00
    Weight
    0.9%
    30D
    +0.0 pts
    Expires
    Nov 7, 2029

    WA · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYIN-28-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Indiana

    Up
    Level
    91.00
    Weight
    0.9%
    30D
    +1.0 pts
    Expires
    Nov 7, 2029

    IN · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYMO-28-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Missouri

    Down
    Level
    94.00
    Weight
    0.9%
    30D
    -0.5 pts
    Expires
    Nov 7, 2029

    MO · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYUT-28-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Utah

    Flat
    Level
    88.00
    Weight
    0.7%
    30D
    +0.0 pts
    Expires
    Nov 7, 2029

    UT · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYNH-28-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Hampshire

    Up
    Level
    94.50
    Weight
    0.7%
    30D
    +3.5 pts
    Expires
    Nov 7, 2029

    NH · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYWV-28-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in West Virginia

    Up
    Level
    88.50
    Weight
    0.6%
    30D
    +0.5 pts
    Expires
    Nov 7, 2029

    WV · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYMT-28-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Montana

    Down
    Level
    85.50
    Weight
    0.6%
    30D
    -1.5 pts
    Expires
    Nov 7, 2029

    MT · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYDE-28-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Delaware

    Down
    Level
    11.50
    Weight
    0.6%
    30D
    -0.5 pts
    Expires
    Nov 7, 2029

    DE · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYND-28-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in North Dakota

    Down
    Level
    85.50
    Weight
    0.6%
    30D
    -2.0 pts
    Expires
    Nov 7, 2029

    ND · kalshi

  • GOVPARTYVT-28-R

    Will the Republican party win the governorship in Vermont

    Down
    Level
    54.00
    Weight
    0.6%
    30D
    -1.5 pts
    Expires
    Nov 7, 2029

    VT · kalshi

TickerMarketLevelWeight30D

GOVPARTYNY-26-R

kalshi · NY

Will the Republican party win the governorship in New York

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $3.6M · Open interest $2.8M

5.005.4%-1.0 pts

GOVPARTYCA-26-R

kalshi · CA

Will the Republican party win the governorship in California

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $1.8M · Open interest $982.1K

3.505.0%+0.5 pts

GOVPARTYTX-26-R

kalshi · TX

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Texas

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $2.2M · Open interest $1.7M

67.504.9%-8.0 pts

GOVPARTYFL-26-R

kalshi · FL

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Florida

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $2.3M · Open interest $1.5M

82.504.6%+4.0 pts

GOVPARTYOH-26-R

kalshi · OH

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Ohio

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $2.8M · Open interest $1.8M

19.504.4%-20.0 pts

GOVPARTYGA-26-R

kalshi · GA

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Georgia

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $1.4M · Open interest $920.1K

41.503.3%-6.0 pts

GOVPARTYMA-26-R

kalshi · MA

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Massachusetts

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $1.6M · Open interest $1.4M

4.503.3%-1.0 pts

GOVPARTYPA-26-R

kalshi · PA

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Pennsylvania

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $705.1K · Open interest $553.3K

2.502.9%-0.5 pts

GOVPARTYIA-26-R

kalshi · IA

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Iowa

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $1.3M · Open interest $860.1K

14.502.8%-2.3 pts

GOVPARTYWI-26-R

kalshi · WI

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Wisconsin

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $932.5K · Open interest $494.2K

20.502.7%+3.0 pts

GOVPARTYAZ-26-R

kalshi · AZ

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Arizona

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $621.6K · Open interest $476.3K

10.502.5%-2.0 pts

GOVPARTYIL-26-R

kalshi · IL

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Illinois

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $102.2K · Open interest $77.8K

3.002.4%+0.5 pts

GOVPARTYMI-26-R

kalshi · MI

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Michigan

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $262.3K · Open interest $172.6K

7.502.4%-0.8 pts

GOVPARTYNV-26-R

kalshi · NV

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Nevada

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $683.4K · Open interest $393.7K

33.502.4%-20.0 pts

GOVPARTYMN-26-R

kalshi · MN

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Minnesota

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $361.1K · Open interest $267.3K

5.002.3%-0.5 pts

GOVPARTYOR-26-R

kalshi · OR

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Oregon

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $287.7K · Open interest $176.6K

20.002.1%+4.0 pts

GOVPARTYCO-26-R

kalshi · CO

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Colorado

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $175.1K · Open interest $150K

3.502.1%+0.0 pts

GOVPARTYTN-26-R

kalshi · TN

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Tennessee

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $68.7K · Open interest $52K

94.002.1%-1.5 pts

GOVPARTYMD-26-R

kalshi · MD

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Maryland

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $71.3K · Open interest $64K

3.002.1%-0.5 pts

GOVPARTYAL-26-R

kalshi · AL

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Alabama

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $54K · Open interest $34.8K

94.502.0%+1.0 pts

GOVPARTYVT-26-R

kalshi · VT

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Vermont

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $332.4K · Open interest $161.7K

74.502.0%-8.5 pts

GOVPARTYSC-26-R

kalshi · SC

Will the Republican party win the governorship in South Carolina

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $18.6K · Open interest $10.4K

94.002.0%-1.0 pts

GOVPARTYOK-26-R

kalshi · OK

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Oklahoma

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $76K · Open interest $39.7K

90.502.0%-1.5 pts

GOVPARTYCT-26-R

kalshi · CT

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Connecticut

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $69.7K · Open interest $62.3K

3.501.9%-0.5 pts

GOVPARTYNM-26-R

kalshi · NM

Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Mexico

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $137.4K · Open interest $105.4K

6.001.9%-1.0 pts

GOVPARTYAR-26-R

kalshi · AR

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Arkansas

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $6.8K · Open interest $5.7K

96.001.9%-0.5 pts

GOVPARTYKS-27-R

kalshi · KS

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Kansas

Expires Jan 14, 2028

Volume $142.1K · Open interest $54.8K

74.501.8%+2.0 pts

GOVPARTYNE-26-R

kalshi · NE

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Nebraska

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $39.5K · Open interest $26.2K

85.501.8%-6.5 pts

GOVPARTYME-26-R

kalshi · ME

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Maine

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $67.9K · Open interest $40K

4.501.8%-1.0 pts

GOVPARTYID-26-R

kalshi · ID

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Idaho

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $5.3K · Open interest $2.5K

97.001.8%-1.0 pts

KXGOVPARTYAK-26-R

kalshi · AK

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Alaska

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $83.1K · Open interest $36K

13.501.8%-14.0 pts

GOVPARTYHI-26-R

kalshi · HI

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Hawaii

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $9.6K · Open interest $8.7K

2.001.8%-1.0 pts

GOVPARTYRI-26-R

kalshi · RI

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Rhode Island

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $15K · Open interest $9.7K

0.500.0%—

GOVPARTYSD-26-R

kalshi · SD

Will the Republican party win the governorship in South Dakota

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $5.1K · Open interest $3.2K

97.501.8%-0.5 pts

GOVPARTYWY-26-R

kalshi · WY

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Wyoming

Expires Nov 3, 2027

Volume $2.3K · Open interest $1.8K

98.001.7%+1.0 pts

GOVPARTYKY-27-R

kalshi · KY

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Kentucky

Expires Nov 1, 2028

Volume $28.2K · Open interest $12.3K

76.501.4%-5.0 pts

GOVPARTYLA-27-R

kalshi · LA

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Louisiana

Expires Nov 12, 2028

Volume $6.5K · Open interest $881.9

89.501.3%+0.0 pts

GOVPARTYMS-27-R

kalshi · MS

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Mississippi

Expires Nov 1, 2028

Volume $3.3K · Open interest $2.9K

87.501.3%-4.5 pts

GOVPARTYNC-28-R

kalshi · NC

Will the Republican party win the governorship in North Carolina

Expires Nov 7, 2029

Volume $1.3K · Open interest $454.9

32.001.1%+0.5 pts

GOVPARTYWA-28-R

kalshi · WA

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Washington

Expires Nov 7, 2029

Volume $11.5K · Open interest $3.7K

5.000.9%+0.0 pts

GOVPARTYIN-28-R

kalshi · IN

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Indiana

Expires Nov 7, 2029

Volume $1.1K · Open interest $211

91.000.9%+1.0 pts

GOVPARTYMO-28-R

kalshi · MO

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Missouri

Expires Nov 7, 2029

Volume $7.3K · Open interest $3.2K

94.000.9%-0.5 pts

GOVPARTYUT-28-R

kalshi · UT

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Utah

Expires Nov 7, 2029

Volume $1.3K · Open interest $574

88.000.7%+0.0 pts

GOVPARTYNH-28-R

kalshi · NH

Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Hampshire

Expires Nov 7, 2029

Volume $94.9K · Open interest $71.8K

94.500.7%+3.5 pts

GOVPARTYWV-28-R

kalshi · WV

Will the Republican party win the governorship in West Virginia

Expires Nov 7, 2029

Volume $5.1K · Open interest $828.2

88.500.6%+0.5 pts

GOVPARTYMT-28-R

kalshi · MT

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Montana

Expires Nov 7, 2029

Volume $3.3K · Open interest $1.3K

85.500.6%-1.5 pts

GOVPARTYDE-28-R

kalshi · DE

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Delaware

Expires Nov 7, 2029

Volume $91 · Open interest $61

11.500.6%-0.5 pts

GOVPARTYND-28-R

kalshi · ND

Will the Republican party win the governorship in North Dakota

Expires Nov 7, 2029

Volume $479.2 · Open interest $287.1

85.500.6%-2.0 pts

GOVPARTYVT-28-R

kalshi · VT

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Vermont

Expires Nov 7, 2029

Volume $3.7K · Open interest $481.2

54.000.6%-1.5 pts

Probability distribution

Underlying markets grouped by their current Yes probability.

49 markets

0–10%
15 · 30.6%
10–20%
5 · 10.2%
20–30%
2 · 4.1%
30–40%
2 · 4.1%
40–50%
1 · 2.0%
50–60%
1 · 2.0%
60–70%
1 · 2.0%
70–80%
3 · 6.1%
80–90%
8 · 16.3%
90–100%
11 · 22.4%

Recent observations

Daily Adjacent index levels, newest first.

SettlementValue
Oct 23, 202691.23
Oct 22, 202690.03
Oct 21, 202690.29
Oct 20, 202691.39
Oct 19, 202692.74
Oct 18, 202693.63
Oct 17, 202692.92
Oct 16, 202693.49
Oct 15, 202693.53
Oct 14, 202693.02
Show 90 older daily observations
SettlementValue
Oct 13, 202693.11
Oct 12, 202693.16
Oct 11, 202692.81
Oct 10, 202692.86
Oct 9, 202692.51
Oct 8, 202692.50
Oct 7, 202691.89
Oct 6, 202691.82
Oct 5, 202691.96
Oct 4, 202692.26
Oct 3, 202692.52
Oct 2, 202692.83
Oct 1, 202692.84
Sep 30, 202692.77
Sep 29, 202692.66
Sep 28, 202692.87
Sep 27, 202692.74
Sep 26, 202692.84
Sep 25, 202693.02
Sep 24, 202693.36
Sep 23, 202692.34
Sep 22, 202692.15
Sep 21, 202692.18
Sep 20, 202692.33
Sep 19, 202692.42
Sep 18, 202692.52
Sep 17, 202692.83
Sep 16, 202693.16
Sep 15, 202693.18
Sep 14, 202692.96
Sep 13, 202694.10
Sep 12, 202693.83
Sep 11, 202693.99
Sep 10, 202693.89
Sep 9, 202693.42
Sep 8, 202693.53
Sep 7, 202693.50
Sep 6, 202693.27
Sep 5, 202693.47
Sep 4, 202693.30
Sep 3, 202693.24
Sep 2, 202693.38
Sep 1, 202693.47
Aug 31, 202693.61
Aug 30, 202693.73
Aug 29, 202693.45
Aug 28, 202693.52
Aug 27, 202693.50
Aug 26, 202693.50
Aug 25, 202693.56
Aug 24, 202693.66
Aug 23, 202693.69
Aug 22, 202693.96
Aug 21, 202694.17
Aug 20, 202694.46
Aug 19, 202695.13
Aug 18, 202694.23
Aug 17, 202695.20
Aug 16, 202695.39
Aug 15, 202695.34
Aug 14, 202695.46
Aug 13, 202694.41
Aug 12, 202694.42
Aug 11, 202694.73
Aug 10, 202694.99
Aug 9, 202694.75
Aug 8, 202694.86
Aug 7, 202694.77
Aug 6, 202694.71
Aug 5, 202695.31
Aug 4, 202695.08
Aug 3, 202694.77
Aug 2, 202694.81
Aug 1, 202694.65
Jul 31, 202694.58
Jul 30, 202694.61
Jul 29, 202694.90
Jul 28, 202694.81
Jul 27, 202694.99
Jul 26, 202694.83
Jul 25, 202694.71
Jul 24, 202694.62
Jul 23, 202694.65
Jul 22, 202694.66
Jul 21, 202694.66
Jul 20, 202694.88
Jul 19, 202694.67
Jul 18, 202694.66
Jul 17, 202694.51
Jul 16, 202694.54

About this index

How Gubernatorial (R) is calculated

Adjacent applies its UPFI methodology to live prediction markets. Weights reflect contract activity and time to resolution for Presidential and Senate races, and jurisdiction population for House, Gubernatorial, and Mayoral races.

Structure
Market basket
Coverage
Governor
Methodology
upfi
Status
Live
Source
Adjacent

Key drivers

Largest weighted input

Will the Republican party win the governorship in New York

GOVPARTYNY-26-R · 5.4% weight · 5.0 level

Other leading input

Will the Republican party win the governorship in California

GOVPARTYCA-26-R · 5.0% weight · 3.5 level

Other leading input

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Texas

GOVPARTYTX-26-R · 4.9% weight · 67.5 level

Trailing changes

Trailing returns calculated by Adjacent across standard periods.

1D
+1.3%
1W
-2.4%
1M
-1.2%
3M
-3.7%
YTD
—
1Y
—

Risk statistics

Volatility
11.26%
Daily volatility
0.59%
Range high
93.63
Range low
90.03
Period return
-1.20%

Geographic exposure

Largest state weights across 48 covered states.

NY
5.4%

1 market · 5.0% average probability

CA
5.0%

1 market · 3.5% average probability

TX
4.9%

1 market · 67.5% average probability

FL
4.6%

1 market · 82.5% average probability

OH
4.4%

1 market · 19.5% average probability

GA
3.3%

1 market · 41.5% average probability

Show all 48 states
MA
3.3%

1 market · 4.5% average probability

PA
2.9%

1 market · 2.5% average probability

IA
2.8%

1 market · 14.5% average probability

WI
2.7%

1 market · 20.5% average probability

VT
2.6%

2 markets · 69.8% average probability

AZ
2.5%

1 market · 10.5% average probability

IL
2.4%

1 market · 3.0% average probability

MI
2.4%

1 market · 7.5% average probability

NV
2.4%

1 market · 33.5% average probability

MN
2.3%

1 market · 5.0% average probability

OR
2.1%

1 market · 20.0% average probability

CO
2.1%

1 market · 3.5% average probability

TN
2.1%

1 market · 94.0% average probability

MD
2.1%

1 market · 3.0% average probability

AL
2.0%

1 market · 94.5% average probability

SC
2.0%

1 market · 94.0% average probability

OK
2.0%

1 market · 90.5% average probability

CT
1.9%

1 market · 3.5% average probability

NM
1.9%

1 market · 6.0% average probability

AR
1.9%

1 market · 96.0% average probability

KS
1.8%

1 market · 74.5% average probability

NE
1.8%

1 market · 85.5% average probability

ME
1.8%

1 market · 4.5% average probability

ID
1.8%

1 market · 97.0% average probability

AK
1.8%

1 market · 13.5% average probability

HI
1.8%

1 market · 2.0% average probability

SD
1.8%

1 market · 97.5% average probability

WY
1.7%

1 market · 98.0% average probability

KY
1.4%

1 market · 76.5% average probability

LA
1.3%

1 market · 89.5% average probability

MS
1.3%

1 market · 87.5% average probability

NC
1.1%

1 market · 32.0% average probability

WA
0.9%

1 market · 5.0% average probability

IN
0.9%

1 market · 91.0% average probability

MO
0.9%

1 market · 94.0% average probability

UT
0.7%

1 market · 88.0% average probability

NH
0.7%

1 market · 94.5% average probability

WV
0.6%

1 market · 88.5% average probability

MT
0.6%

1 market · 85.5% average probability

DE
0.6%

1 market · 11.5% average probability

ND
0.6%

1 market · 85.5% average probability

RI
0.0%

1 market · 0.5% average probability

Maturity schedule

Nov 3, 2027

34 markets

85.9%

Jan 14, 2028

1 market

1.8%

Nov 1, 2028

2 markets

2.7%

Nov 12, 2028

1 market

1.3%

Nov 7, 2029

11 markets

8.2%