US Politics · BLUBTL

BLUE Battleground Index

A real-time, market-implied measure of Democratic political advantage across U.S. battleground states.

117.42

50 = 0% · 100 = neutral · 150 = 100%

1D change

—

7D change

—

Sub-indices

4

Implied probability

67.4%

BLUE Battleground Index is at 117.4 on Adjacent's 50–150 UPFI scale, implying 67.4% aggregate win probability for the tracked party.

Index history

Daily closes plus the current level.

118.5117.6116.8115.9Aug 11Aug 25Sep 9

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Updated Sep 9, 2026, 11:42 PM UTCRange 116.16–118.24

Constituents

No constituent data is currently available.

Recent observations

Daily Adjacent index levels, newest first.

SettlementValue
Sep 8, 2026117.63
Sep 7, 2026117.77
Sep 6, 2026117.65
Sep 5, 2026117.37
Sep 4, 2026117.46
Sep 3, 2026117.66
Sep 2, 2026118.08
Sep 1, 2026118.24
Aug 31, 2026117.95
Aug 30, 2026118.15
Show 21 older daily observations
SettlementValue
Aug 29, 2026118.03
Aug 28, 2026118.10
Aug 27, 2026117.56
Aug 26, 2026117.85
Aug 25, 2026117.91
Aug 24, 2026117.64
Aug 23, 2026117.82
Aug 22, 2026117.92
Aug 21, 2026117.82
Aug 20, 2026117.81
Aug 19, 2026117.86
Aug 18, 2026117.20
Aug 17, 2026117.49
Aug 16, 2026117.02
Aug 15, 2026117.05
Aug 14, 2026116.97
Aug 13, 2026117.29
Aug 12, 2026117.37
Aug 11, 2026116.16
Aug 10, 2026115.73
Aug 9, 2026115.84