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    • BLUE Battleground Index
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  1. Indices
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  3. US Politics

US Politics · GOVBGD

BLUE Battleground Gubernatorial Index

A real-time, market-implied measure of Democratic advantage in gubernatorial races across battleground states.

127.68

50 = 0% · 100 = neutral · 150 = 100%

1D change

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7D change

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Markets

7

Implied probability

77.7%

BLUE Battleground Gubernatorial Index is at 127.7 on Adjacent's 50–150 UPFI scale, implying 77.7% aggregate win probability for the tracked party.

Index history

Daily closes plus the current level.

127.8127.7127.6127.6Oct 25Oct 25Oct 25

Focus the chart and use the left and right arrow keys, Home, or End to inspect observations.

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 1:19 AM UTCRange 127.68–127.68

Constituents

No constituent data is currently available.

Recent observations

Daily Adjacent index levels, newest first.

SettlementValue

About this index

How BLUE Battleground Gubernatorial Index is calculated

Adjacent applies its UPFI methodology to live prediction markets. Weights reflect contract activity and time to resolution for Presidential and Senate races, and jurisdiction population for House, Gubernatorial, and Mayoral races.

Structure
Market basket
Coverage
Governor
Methodology
battleground
Status
Live
Source
Adjacent

Key drivers

Market basket

7 tracked markets

Calculated with Adjacent UPFI methodology

Trailing changes

Trailing returns calculated by Adjacent across standard periods.

1D
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1W
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1M
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3M
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YTD
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1Y
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