US Politics · HOUBGD

BLUE Battleground House Index

A real-time, market-implied measure of Democratic advantage in U.S. House races across battleground states.

101.22

-0.1 today

50 = 0% · 100 = neutral · 150 = 100%

1D change

-0.1 pts

7D change

-1.0 pts

Markets

Implied probability

51.2%

BLUE Battleground House Index is at 101.2 on Adjacent's 50–150 UPFI scale, implying 51.2% aggregate win probability for the tracked party.

Index history

Daily closes plus the current level.

Updated Sep 9, 2026, 3:04 AM UTCRange 99.83–102.32

Constituents

Current prediction markets, weights, geography, and scheduled expirations.

HOUSEPA7-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-7?
Up
Level
81.75
Weight
2.4%
30D
+9.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
PA · kalshi
HOUSEWI3-26-D
Will a Democrat win the House race for WI-3?
Up
Level
72.00
Weight
1.7%
30D
+2.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
WI · kalshi
HOUSEPA8-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-8?
Up
Level
66.00
Weight
1.5%
30D
+3.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
PA · kalshi
HOUSEPA1-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-1?
Up
Level
46.00
Weight
1.5%
30D
+5.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
PA · kalshi
HOUSENC1-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-1?
Up
Level
58.00
Weight
1.5%
30D
+4.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
NC · kalshi
KXHOUSENC11-26-DEM
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-11?
Up
Level
61.00
Weight
1.4%
30D
+6.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
NC · kalshi
HOUSEPA17-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-17?
Down
Level
92.00
Weight
1.4%
30D
-0.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
PA · kalshi
HOUSEPA10-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-10?
Down
Level
77.00
Weight
1.4%
30D
-4.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
PA · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-PA16-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-16?
Down
Level
8.00
Weight
1.4%
30D
-2.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
PA · kalshi
HOUSEMI7-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for MI-7?
Down
Level
53.00
Weight
1.4%
30D
-9.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
MI · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-PA11-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-11?
Down
Level
1.00
Weight
1.4%
30D
-5.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
PA · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-PA06-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-06?
Down
Level
99.00
Weight
1.4%
30D
-0.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
PA · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-NC09-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-09?
Up
Level
23.60
Weight
1.4%
30D
+1.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
NC · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-PA04-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-04?
Up
Level
94.00
Weight
1.4%
30D
+1.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
PA · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-PA15-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-15?
Down
Level
2.00
Weight
1.4%
30D
-5.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
PA · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-PA12-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-12?
Down
Level
98.00
Weight
1.4%
30D
-1.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
PA · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-GA02-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-02?
Down
Level
96.00
Weight
1.4%
30D
-2.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
GA · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-PA13-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-13?
Level
1.00
Weight
1.4%
30D
—
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
PA · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-PA14-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-14?
Down
Level
2.00
Weight
1.4%
30D
-2.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
PA · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-PA05-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-05?
Up
Level
99.00
Weight
1.4%
30D
+1.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
PA · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-PA09-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-09?
Level
2.00
Weight
1.4%
30D
—
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
PA · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-PA03-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-03?
Down
Level
99.00
Weight
1.4%
30D
-1.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
PA · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-PA02-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-02?
Down
Level
100.00
Weight
1.4%
30D
-1.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
PA · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-GA14-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-14?
Up
Level
2.00
Weight
1.3%
30D
+0.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
GA · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-GA11-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-11?
Down
Level
8.00
Weight
1.3%
30D
-0.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
GA · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-GA12-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-12?
Down
Level
3.00
Weight
1.3%
30D
-4.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
GA · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-NC02-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-02?
Up
Level
97.00
Weight
1.3%
30D
+0.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
NC · kalshi
HOUSEMI10-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for MI-10?
Flat
Level
65.00
Weight
1.3%
30D
+0.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
MI · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-GA07-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-07?
Down
Level
3.00
Weight
1.3%
30D
-3.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
GA · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-GA06-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-06?
Flat
Level
97.00
Weight
1.3%
30D
+0.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
GA · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-GA13-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-13?
Up
Level
98.00
Weight
1.3%
30D
+1.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
GA · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-NC06-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-06?
Down
Level
13.00
Weight
1.3%
30D
-3.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
NC · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-NC07-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-07?
Down
Level
15.00
Weight
1.3%
30D
-1.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
NC · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-MI01-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for MI-01?
Down
Level
7.00
Weight
1.3%
30D
-0.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
MI · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-NC08-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-08?
Down
Level
4.00
Weight
1.3%
30D
-1.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
NC · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-NC14-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-14?
Up
Level
11.00
Weight
1.3%
30D
+1.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
NC · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-GA01-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-01?
Down
Level
10.00
Weight
1.3%
30D
-3.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
GA · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-GA08-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-08?
Down
Level
3.00
Weight
1.3%
30D
-3.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
GA · kalshi
HOUSEMI4-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for MI-4?
Up
Level
44.00
Weight
1.3%
30D
+9.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
MI · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-NC13-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-13?
Up
Level
11.33
Weight
1.3%
30D
+0.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
NC · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-NC10-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-10?
Up
Level
8.00
Weight
1.3%
30D
+0.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
NC · kalshi
HOUSEMI3-26-D
Will a Democrat win the House race for MI-3?
Up
Level
96.00
Weight
1.3%
30D
+2.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
MI · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-GA10-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-10?
Down
Level
3.00
Weight
1.2%
30D
-2.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
GA · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-NC05-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-05?
Down
Level
9.00
Weight
1.2%
30D
-1.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
NC · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-GA04-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-04?
Up
Level
98.00
Weight
1.2%
30D
+0.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
GA · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-GA09-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-09?
Flat
Level
2.00
Weight
1.2%
30D
+0.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
GA · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-NC03-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-03?
Up
Level
14.00
Weight
1.2%
30D
+0.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
NC · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-NC12-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-12?
Up
Level
95.00
Weight
1.2%
30D
+0.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
NC · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-GA03-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-03?
Up
Level
2.00
Weight
1.2%
30D
+0.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
GA · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-GA05-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for GA-05?
Down
Level
96.00
Weight
1.2%
30D
-0.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
GA · kalshi
HOUSEAZ1-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-1?
Down
Level
77.00
Weight
1.2%
30D
-1.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
AZ · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-NC04-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-04?
Down
Level
100.00
Weight
1.2%
30D
-0.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
NC · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-MI02-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for MI-02?
Level
3.00
Weight
1.2%
30D
—
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
MI · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-MI05-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for MI-05?
Down
Level
2.00
Weight
1.2%
30D
-5.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
MI · kalshi
HOUSEMI8-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for MI-8?
Up
Level
93.00
Weight
1.2%
30D
+0.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
MI · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-WI06-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for WI-06?
Down
Level
9.00
Weight
1.2%
30D
-3.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
WI · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-MI11-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for MI-11?
Flat
Level
97.00
Weight
1.2%
30D
+0.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
MI · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-MI09-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for MI-09?
Up
Level
3.00
Weight
1.2%
30D
+1.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
MI · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-MI06-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for MI-06?
Down
Level
98.00
Weight
1.2%
30D
-1.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
MI · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-MI13-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for MI-13?
Down
Level
98.50
Weight
1.2%
30D
-0.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
MI · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-MI12-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for MI-12?
Down
Level
100.00
Weight
1.2%
30D
-1.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
MI · kalshi
HOUSEWI1-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for WI-1?
Up
Level
33.00
Weight
1.1%
30D
+5.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
WI · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-AZ04-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-04?
Down
Level
92.50
Weight
1.1%
30D
-2.8 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
AZ · kalshi
HOUSEAZ6-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-6?
Up
Level
80.00
Weight
1.1%
30D
+4.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
AZ · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-AZ05-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-05?
Down
Level
8.00
Weight
1.1%
30D
-2.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
AZ · kalshi
HOUSEAZ2-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-2?
Down
Level
30.00
Weight
1.1%
30D
-5.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
AZ · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-WI08-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for WI-08?
Down
Level
7.00
Weight
1.1%
30D
-4.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
WI · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-AZ08-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-08?
Up
Level
12.00
Weight
1.1%
30D
+0.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
AZ · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-WI07-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for WI-07?
Down
Level
2.00
Weight
1.1%
30D
-4.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
WI · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-AZ09-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-09?
Down
Level
5.00
Weight
1.1%
30D
-2.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
AZ · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-WI05-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for WI-05?
Flat
Level
3.00
Weight
1.1%
30D
+0.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
WI · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-AZ03-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-03?
Down
Level
99.00
Weight
1.1%
30D
-0.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
AZ · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-AZ07-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-07?
Down
Level
95.00
Weight
1.1%
30D
-2.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
AZ · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-WI04-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for WI-04?
Flat
Level
98.00
Weight
1.0%
30D
+0.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
WI · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-WI02-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for WI-02?
Up
Level
95.00
Weight
1.0%
30D
+2.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
WI · kalshi
KXHOUSERACE-NV02-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for NV-02?
Up
Level
23.00
Weight
1.0%
30D
+1.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
NV · kalshi
HOUSENV3-26-D
Will Democratic win the House race for NV-3?
Up
Level
92.50
Weight
0.9%
30D
+6.5 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
NV · kalshi
HOUSENV1-26-D
Will a Democrat win the House race for NV-1?
Flat
Level
91.00
Weight
0.9%
30D
+0.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
NV · kalshi
HOUSENV4-26-D
Will a Democrat win the House race for NV-4?
Up
Level
94.00
Weight
0.9%
30D
+3.0 pts
Expires
Nov 3, 2027
NV · kalshi

Ticker	Market	Level	Weight	30D
HOUSEPA7-26-D kalshi · PA	Will Democratic win the House race for PA-7? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $101K · Open interest $39.5K	81.75	2.4%	+9.0 pts
HOUSEWI3-26-D kalshi · WI	Will a Democrat win the House race for WI-3? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $63.6K · Open interest $56.3K	72.00	1.7%	+2.0 pts
HOUSEPA8-26-D kalshi · PA	Will Democratic win the House race for PA-8? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $15.5K · Open interest $9.3K	66.00	1.5%	+3.5 pts
HOUSEPA1-26-D kalshi · PA	Will Democratic win the House race for PA-1? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $13.7K · Open interest $10.5K	46.00	1.5%	+5.0 pts
HOUSENC1-26-D kalshi · NC	Will Democratic win the House race for NC-1? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $22K · Open interest $10.6K	58.00	1.5%	+4.0 pts
KXHOUSENC11-26-DEM kalshi · NC	Will Democratic win the House race for NC-11? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $19.5K · Open interest $10.9K	61.00	1.4%	+6.0 pts
HOUSEPA17-26-D kalshi · PA	Will Democratic win the House race for PA-17? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $7.3K · Open interest $3.6K	92.00	1.4%	-0.5 pts
HOUSEPA10-26-D kalshi · PA	Will Democratic win the House race for PA-10? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $7.3K · Open interest $5.3K	77.00	1.4%	-4.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-PA16-26-D kalshi · PA	Will Democratic win the House race for PA-16? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $6.6K · Open interest $3.5K	8.00	1.4%	-2.5 pts
HOUSEMI7-26-D kalshi · MI	Will Democratic win the House race for MI-7? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $19.7K · Open interest $13.3K	53.00	1.4%	-9.0 pts
KXHOUSERACE-PA11-26-D kalshi · PA	Will Democratic win the House race for PA-11? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $3.3K · Open interest $2.5K	1.00	1.4%	-5.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-PA06-26-D kalshi · PA	Will Democratic win the House race for PA-06? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $2.5K · Open interest $2.4K	99.00	1.4%	-0.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-NC09-26-D kalshi · NC	Will Democratic win the House race for NC-09? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $13.8K · Open interest $8.7K	23.60	1.4%	+1.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-PA04-26-D kalshi · PA	Will Democratic win the House race for PA-04? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $1.6K · Open interest $810	94.00	1.4%	+1.0 pts
KXHOUSERACE-PA15-26-D kalshi · PA	Will Democratic win the House race for PA-15? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $1.3K · Open interest $1K	2.00	1.4%	-5.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-PA12-26-D kalshi · PA	Will Democratic win the House race for PA-12? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $1.2K · Open interest $591	98.00	1.4%	-1.0 pts
KXHOUSERACE-GA02-26-D kalshi · GA	Will Democratic win the House race for GA-02? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $12.6K · Open interest $4.6K	96.00	1.4%	-2.0 pts
KXHOUSERACE-PA13-26-D kalshi · PA	Will Democratic win the House race for PA-13? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $927 · Open interest $520	1.00	1.4%	—
KXHOUSERACE-PA14-26-D kalshi · PA	Will Democratic win the House race for PA-14? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $892.4 · Open interest $840.3	2.00	1.4%	-2.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-PA05-26-D kalshi · PA	Will Democratic win the House race for PA-05? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $560.4 · Open interest $531.9	99.00	1.4%	+1.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-PA09-26-D kalshi · PA	Will Democratic win the House race for PA-09? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $492.2 · Open interest $294	2.00	1.4%	—
KXHOUSERACE-PA03-26-D kalshi · PA	Will Democratic win the House race for PA-03? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $233 · Open interest $25	99.00	1.4%	-1.0 pts
KXHOUSERACE-PA02-26-D kalshi · PA	Will Democratic win the House race for PA-02? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $28 · Open interest $22	100.00	1.4%	-1.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-GA14-26-D kalshi · GA	Will Democratic win the House race for GA-14? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $8.9K · Open interest $4.5K	2.00	1.3%	+0.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-GA11-26-D kalshi · GA	Will Democratic win the House race for GA-11? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $7.9K · Open interest $3.9K	8.00	1.3%	-0.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-GA12-26-D kalshi · GA	Will Democratic win the House race for GA-12? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $7.2K · Open interest $4.8K	3.00	1.3%	-4.0 pts
KXHOUSERACE-NC02-26-D kalshi · NC	Will Democratic win the House race for NC-02? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $7.2K · Open interest $604	97.00	1.3%	+0.5 pts
HOUSEMI10-26-D kalshi · MI	Will Democratic win the House race for MI-10? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $10.8K · Open interest $5.3K	65.00	1.3%	+0.0 pts
KXHOUSERACE-GA07-26-D kalshi · GA	Will Democratic win the House race for GA-07? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $6.8K · Open interest $3.7K	3.00	1.3%	-3.0 pts
KXHOUSERACE-GA06-26-D kalshi · GA	Will Democratic win the House race for GA-06? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $6.4K · Open interest $4.5K	97.00	1.3%	+0.0 pts
KXHOUSERACE-GA13-26-D kalshi · GA	Will Democratic win the House race for GA-13? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $5.7K · Open interest $1.7K	98.00	1.3%	+1.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-NC06-26-D kalshi · NC	Will Democratic win the House race for NC-06? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $5.6K · Open interest $1.1K	13.00	1.3%	-3.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-NC07-26-D kalshi · NC	Will Democratic win the House race for NC-07? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $4.8K · Open interest $2.2K	15.00	1.3%	-1.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-MI01-26-D kalshi · MI	Will Democratic win the House race for MI-01? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $8.2K · Open interest $2.5K	7.00	1.3%	-0.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-NC08-26-D kalshi · NC	Will Democratic win the House race for NC-08? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $4.1K · Open interest $1.6K	4.00	1.3%	-1.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-NC14-26-D kalshi · NC	Will Democratic win the House race for NC-14? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $4K · Open interest $2.1K	11.00	1.3%	+1.0 pts
KXHOUSERACE-GA01-26-D kalshi · GA	Will Democratic win the House race for GA-01? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $2.6K · Open interest $1.3K	10.00	1.3%	-3.0 pts
KXHOUSERACE-GA08-26-D kalshi · GA	Will Democratic win the House race for GA-08? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $2.2K · Open interest $1.7K	3.00	1.3%	-3.5 pts
HOUSEMI4-26-D kalshi · MI	Will Democratic win the House race for MI-4? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $6K · Open interest $3.1K	44.00	1.3%	+9.0 pts
KXHOUSERACE-NC13-26-D kalshi · NC	Will Democratic win the House race for NC-13? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $2K · Open interest $578	11.33	1.3%	+0.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-NC10-26-D kalshi · NC	Will Democratic win the House race for NC-10? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $1.2K · Open interest $902.1	8.00	1.3%	+0.5 pts
HOUSEMI3-26-D kalshi · MI	Will a Democrat win the House race for MI-3? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $4.8K · Open interest $3.1K	96.00	1.3%	+2.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-GA10-26-D kalshi · GA	Will Democratic win the House race for GA-10? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $992 · Open interest $417	3.00	1.2%	-2.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-NC05-26-D kalshi · NC	Will Democratic win the House race for NC-05? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $866.9 · Open interest $503.9	9.00	1.2%	-1.0 pts
KXHOUSERACE-GA04-26-D kalshi · GA	Will Democratic win the House race for GA-04? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $714.8 · Open interest $558.2	98.00	1.2%	+0.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-GA09-26-D kalshi · GA	Will Democratic win the House race for GA-09? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $673 · Open interest $209	2.00	1.2%	+0.0 pts
KXHOUSERACE-NC03-26-D kalshi · NC	Will Democratic win the House race for NC-03? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $634 · Open interest $105	14.00	1.2%	+0.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-NC12-26-D kalshi · NC	Will Democratic win the House race for NC-12? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $525 · Open interest $236	95.00	1.2%	+0.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-GA03-26-D kalshi · GA	Will Democratic win the House race for GA-03? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $502 · Open interest $500	2.00	1.2%	+0.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-GA05-26-D kalshi · GA	Will Democratic win the House race for GA-05? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $275 · Open interest $100.5	96.00	1.2%	-0.5 pts
HOUSEAZ1-26-D kalshi · AZ	Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-1? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $19.3K · Open interest $13.6K	77.00	1.2%	-1.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-NC04-26-D kalshi · NC	Will Democratic win the House race for NC-04? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $88 · Open interest $87	100.00	1.2%	-0.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-MI02-26-D kalshi · MI	Will Democratic win the House race for MI-02? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $3.3K · Open interest $1.4K	3.00	1.2%	—
KXHOUSERACE-MI05-26-D kalshi · MI	Will Democratic win the House race for MI-05? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $3K · Open interest $2.3K	2.00	1.2%	-5.5 pts
HOUSEMI8-26-D kalshi · MI	Will Democratic win the House race for MI-8? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $2.8K · Open interest $1.8K	93.00	1.2%	+0.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-WI06-26-D kalshi · WI	Will Democratic win the House race for WI-06? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $20.8K · Open interest $16.7K	9.00	1.2%	-3.0 pts
KXHOUSERACE-MI11-26-D kalshi · MI	Will Democratic win the House race for MI-11? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $1.2K · Open interest $130	97.00	1.2%	+0.0 pts
KXHOUSERACE-MI09-26-D kalshi · MI	Will Democratic win the House race for MI-09? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $1.1K · Open interest $608.1	3.00	1.2%	+1.0 pts
KXHOUSERACE-MI06-26-D kalshi · MI	Will Democratic win the House race for MI-06? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $979 · Open interest $965	98.00	1.2%	-1.0 pts
KXHOUSERACE-MI13-26-D kalshi · MI	Will Democratic win the House race for MI-13? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $420.3 · Open interest $363.3	98.50	1.2%	-0.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-MI12-26-D kalshi · MI	Will Democratic win the House race for MI-12? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $279 · Open interest $275	100.00	1.2%	-1.0 pts
HOUSEWI1-26-D kalshi · WI	Will Democratic win the House race for WI-1? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $12.9K · Open interest $9.1K	33.00	1.1%	+5.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-AZ04-26-D kalshi · AZ	Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-04? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $7.6K · Open interest $3.9K	92.50	1.1%	-2.8 pts
HOUSEAZ6-26-D kalshi · AZ	Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-6? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $6.8K · Open interest $3.5K	80.00	1.1%	+4.0 pts
KXHOUSERACE-AZ05-26-D kalshi · AZ	Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-05? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $5.5K · Open interest $2.6K	8.00	1.1%	-2.5 pts
HOUSEAZ2-26-D kalshi · AZ	Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-2? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $3.9K · Open interest $2.6K	30.00	1.1%	-5.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-WI08-26-D kalshi · WI	Will Democratic win the House race for WI-08? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $5.9K · Open interest $2.5K	7.00	1.1%	-4.0 pts
KXHOUSERACE-AZ08-26-D kalshi · AZ	Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-08? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $1.8K · Open interest $1.4K	12.00	1.1%	+0.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-WI07-26-D kalshi · WI	Will Democratic win the House race for WI-07? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $5.3K · Open interest $2.7K	2.00	1.1%	-4.0 pts
KXHOUSERACE-AZ09-26-D kalshi · AZ	Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-09? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $1.2K · Open interest $758	5.00	1.1%	-2.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-WI05-26-D kalshi · WI	Will Democratic win the House race for WI-05? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $4.6K · Open interest $2.3K	3.00	1.1%	+0.0 pts
KXHOUSERACE-AZ03-26-D kalshi · AZ	Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-03? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $454.1 · Open interest $441.1	99.00	1.1%	-0.5 pts
KXHOUSERACE-AZ07-26-D kalshi · AZ	Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-07? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $379 · Open interest $374	95.00	1.1%	-2.0 pts
KXHOUSERACE-WI04-26-D kalshi · WI	Will Democratic win the House race for WI-04? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $233 · Open interest $207	98.00	1.0%	+0.0 pts
KXHOUSERACE-WI02-26-D kalshi · WI	Will Democratic win the House race for WI-02? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $153 · Open interest $102	95.00	1.0%	+2.0 pts
KXHOUSERACE-NV02-26-D kalshi · NV	Will Democratic win the House race for NV-02? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $10.6K · Open interest $4.2K	23.00	1.0%	+1.5 pts
HOUSENV3-26-D kalshi · NV	Will Democratic win the House race for NV-3? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $7.8K · Open interest $3.5K	92.50	0.9%	+6.5 pts
HOUSENV1-26-D kalshi · NV	Will a Democrat win the House race for NV-1? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $6K · Open interest $1.8K	91.00	0.9%	+0.0 pts
HOUSENV4-26-D kalshi · NV	Will a Democrat win the House race for NV-4? Expires Nov 3, 2027 Volume $3.7K · Open interest $2.2K	94.00	0.9%	+3.0 pts

Probability distribution

Underlying markets grouped by their current Yes probability.

79 markets

0–10%

27 · 34.2%

10–20%

7 · 8.9%

20–30%

3 · 3.8%

30–40%

1 · 1.3%

40–50%

2 · 2.5%

50–60%

2 · 2.5%

60–70%

3 · 3.8%

70–80%

3 · 3.8%

80–90%

2 · 2.5%

90–100%

29 · 36.7%

Recent observations

Daily Adjacent index levels, newest first.

Settlement	Value
Sep 7, 2026	101.34
Sep 6, 2026	101.13
Sep 5, 2026	100.03
Sep 4, 2026	100.22
Sep 3, 2026	100.81
Sep 2, 2026	102.01
Sep 1, 2026	102.22
Aug 31, 2026	101.64
Aug 30, 2026	101.70
Aug 29, 2026	102.32

Show 37 older daily observations

Settlement	Value
Aug 28, 2026	101.61
Aug 27, 2026	100.29
Aug 26, 2026	100.24
Aug 25, 2026	100.67
Aug 24, 2026	100.65
Aug 23, 2026	100.53
Aug 22, 2026	100.73
Aug 21, 2026	100.57
Aug 20, 2026	100.42
Aug 19, 2026	100.36
Aug 18, 2026	100.05
Aug 17, 2026	99.83
Aug 16, 2026	100.09
Aug 15, 2026	100.24
Aug 14, 2026	100.04
Aug 13, 2026	99.98
Aug 12, 2026	100.26
Aug 11, 2026	100.52
Aug 10, 2026	99.94
Aug 9, 2026	99.70
Aug 8, 2026	99.82
Aug 7, 2026	99.86
Aug 6, 2026	99.92
Aug 5, 2026	99.89
Aug 4, 2026	100.08
Aug 3, 2026	100.03
Aug 2, 2026	100.02
Aug 1, 2026	99.88
Jul 31, 2026	99.90
Jul 30, 2026	99.86
Jul 29, 2026	99.73
Jul 28, 2026	99.70
Jul 27, 2026	99.52
Jul 26, 2026	99.22
Jul 25, 2026	99.25
Jul 24, 2026	99.28
Jul 23, 2026	99.43