Trade Prediction Markets on Vistadex

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Polymarket

Fed Decision in September?

No change63%25 bps increase37%25 bps decrease2%50+ bps decrease<1%50+ bps increase<1%
$19.2M vol5 markets

Indices

Politics

Fed Decision in September?

No change63%25 bps increase37%25 bps decrease2%50+ bps decrease<1%50+ bps increase<1%
$19.2M vol5 markets

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy Ahmed95%Gedion Timothewos2%Belete Molla<1%Alesa Mengesha<1%Shimelis Abdisa<1%Berhanu Nega<1%Demeke Mekonnen<1%Adanech Abiebie<1%
$271.4M vol8 markets

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 3195%October 3191%September 3088%August 3175%August 2271%August 1557%August 1456%August 1349%
$7.2M vol17 markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?

August 3113%August 15<1%
$13.5M vol2 markets

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance43%Marco Rubio23%Ron DeSantis3%Tucker Carlson3%Donald Trump2%Donald Trump Jr.1%Vivek Ramaswamy1%Glenn Youngkin<1%
$686.3M vol42 markets

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva65%Flávio Bolsonaro27%Renan Santos7%Ronaldo Caiado1%Romeu Zema<1%Jair Bolsonaro<1%Geraldo Alckmin<1%Tereza Cristina<1%
$121.0M vol17 markets

Sports

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

Paris Saint-Germain14%Barcelona14%Bayern Munich14%Real Madrid14%Arsenal13%Manchester City13%Liverpool8%Manchester United3%
$4.5M vol29 markets

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane57%Lamine Yamal21%Kylian Mbappé8%Rodri8%Lionel Messi2%Khvicha Kvaratskhelia2%Ousmane Dembélé2%Fabian Ruiz<1%
$27.6M vol31 markets

MLB World Series Champion 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers40%Boston Red Sox11%New York Yankees9%Milwaukee Brewers8%Atlanta Braves7%Tampa Bay Rays6%Chicago Cubs6%Philadelphia Phillies4%
$38.6M vol30 markets

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Jannik Sinner54%Carlos Alcaraz14%Alexander Zverev10%Novak Djokovic5%Taylor Fritz3%Ben Shelton2%Daniil Medvedev2%Joao Fonseca1%
$5.6M vol22 markets

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Aryna Sabalenka30%Elena Rybakina9%Coco Gauff9%Iga Swiatek9%Naomi Osaka7%Mirra Andreeva6%Alexandra Eala5%Jessica Pegula4%
$6.5M vol40 markets

LALIGA: 2027 Champion

Barcelona54%Real Madrid41%Atlético Madrid4%Betis<1%Sevilla<1%Racing Santander<1%Athletic Bilbao<1%Elche<1%
$1.9M vol21 markets

NBA

NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?

4%
Yes
$221K vol1 market

NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year

Cameron Boozer23%Caleb Wilson21%AJ Dybantsa21%Darryn Peterson19%Darius Acuff Jr.6%Mikel Brown Jr.3%Yaxel Lendeborg3%Keaton Wagler1%
$7.8M vol30 markets

NBA: Kawhi Leonard Next Team

Toronto Raptors68%Los Angeles Clippers30%Golden State Warriors3%Detroit Pistons<1%San Antonio Spurs<1%Cleveland Cavaliers<1%Chicago Bulls<1%New York Knicks<1%
$272K vol30 markets

NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team

Cleveland Cavaliers98%Golden State Warriors2%Atlanta Hawks<1%Memphis Grizzlies<1%San Antonio Spurs<1%Houston Rockets<1%Toronto Raptors<1%Milwaukee Bucks<1%
$1.3M vol30 markets

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

1%
Yes
$297K vol1 market

NBA: 2027 Eastern Conference Champion

Philadelphia 76ers23%New York Knicks21%Boston Celtics14%Miami Heat10%Detroit Pistons9%Toronto Raptors8%Cleveland Cavaliers7%Washington Wizards5%
$126K vol15 markets

Crypto

What price will Bitcoin hit in August?

↑ 65,000100%↑ 65,000100%↓ 62,500100%↓ 65,000100%↓ 62,500100%↓ 62,50062%↑ 67,50059%↑ 70,00031%
$3.4M vol24 markets

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

16%
Yes
$5.4M vol1 market

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↓ 75,000100%↑ 75,000100%↓ 60,000100%↑ 80,000100%↑ 65,000100%↑ 65,000100%↑ 70,000100%↓ 65,000100%
$51.7M vol44 markets

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

5%
Yes
$4.7M vol1 market

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

↓ 2,500100%↓ 2,000100%↑ 1,750100%↑ 1,750100%↑ 2,00089%↓ 1,75077%↑ 2,25056%↓ 1,50044%
$9.5M vol28 markets

What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?

↓ 28100%↑ 42100%↓ 55100%↑ 54100%↑ 50100%↑ 62100%↑ 58100%↑ 70100%
$1.8M vol28 markets

Tech

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA71%Apple16%Alphabet11%SpaceX1%Microsoft<1%Saudi Aramco<1%Tesla<1%Amazon<1%
$5.7M vol8 markets

GPT-6 released by…?

December 31, 202689%September 30, 202664%August 31, 202618%August 21, 20266%August 14, 20261%June 30, 20260%August 7, 20260%July 31, 20260%
$1.2M vol10 markets

Which company has best AI model end of August?

Anthropic92%OpenAI5%Google2%Meta<1%SpaceXAI<1%DeepSeek<1%Moonshot<1%Z.ai<1%
$1.3M vol21 markets

Largest Company end of August?

NVIDIA88%Apple8%Alphabet3%Tesla<1%Microsoft<1%Amazon<1%Saudi Aramco<1%Broadcom<1%
$1.5M vol8 markets

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

December 3118%September 305%June 300%
$1.0M vol3 markets

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Caesars Entertainment100%iRobot100%Cursor100%Warner Bros. Discovery100%Pizza Hut100%MGM Resorts38%PayPal28%Viking Therapeutics20%
$18.1M vol19 markets

Culture

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)

August 3194%August 1492%July 3189%July 180%July 240%
$14.2M vol5 markets

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)86%1 (25 bps)10%2 (50 bps)3%3 (75 bps)<1%4 (100 bps)<1%12+ (300+ bps)<1%6 (150 bps)<1%5 (125 bps)<1%
$47.6M vol13 markets

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?

↓ $75100%↓ $85100%↑ $80100%↓ $80100%↓ $75100%↓ $7592%↑ $8065%↓ $7056%
$3.9M vol26 markets

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

July 22100%August 3100%August 4100%July 26100%August 1100%August 2100%July 20100%July 28100%
$22.4M vol22 markets

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei76%No Head of State4%Reza Pahlavi3%Alireza Arafi3%Ahmad Vahidi2%Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf2%Hassan Khomeini<1%Masoud Pezeshkian<1%
$38.1M vol32 markets

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 3132%September 309%August 312%August 181%August 13<1%July 310%June 300%
$13.7M vol7 markets