Vistadex logo
DiscoverMy Bets
Vistadex logo

Explore

DiscoverPeopleIdeasClaim MarketsIndices

Resources

AboutBlogDocsTerms of Service

© 2026 Capitola Labs

DiscoverMy Bets

Can Nate Silver predict the future?

Tracking 97 people across 9 domains

Claim markets translate what people say into prediction market positions, measuring accuracy across domains.

Tracking since Jan 1st, 2026 · updated 3m ago

Tracking 97 people across 9 domains

AllEconomicsPolymathAICryptoPoliticsSportsVenture
Profile pictureProfile pictureProfile picture

Economics

#PersonBalance
1
Profile pictureByrne Hobart
$10,002.12
2
Profile picturePeter Schiff
$10,001.10
3
Profile pictureEric Balchunas
$9,936.84
4
Profile pictureBryan Caplan
$9,917.60
5
Profile pictureChad Jones
$9,900.00
6
Profile pictureJim Cramer
$9,413.74
7
Profile picturePaul Krugman
$8,186.52

7 people

Leaderboard

Profile picture

Joe RoganPolymath

$10,920.58Profile picture

Derek ThompsonPolitics

$10,607.74Profile picture

Kyle SamaniCrypto

$10,411.61Profile picture

Nick WrightSports

$10,245.12Profile picture

Mike SolanaVenture

$10,121.03Profile picture

Leopold AschenbrennerAI

$10,022.73Profile picture

Byrne HobartEconomics

$10,002.12

Recent Trades

Polymath

1Profile pictureJoe Rogan$10,920.582Profile pictureVitalik Buterin$10,143.813Profile pictureMark Cuban$10,093.994Profile picturePaul Graham$10,050.385Profile pictureEliezer Yudkowsky$10,039.716Profile pictureTyler Cowen$10,035.047Profile pictureScott Alexander$10,011.618Profile pictureCremieux$10,005.159Profile pictureRobin Hanson$10,000.9110Profile pictureMarc Andreessen$9,989.8511Profile pictureTim Ferriss$9,968.3312Profile pictureRoon$9,932.2513Profile pictureElon Musk$9,900.0014Profile pictureBalaji Srinivasan$9,849.7815Profile pictureEigenrobot$9,802.3416Profile pictureNikita Bier$9,761.8217Profile pictureZvi Mowshowitz$9,626.1618Profile pictureNate Silver$9,004.5319Profile pictureDavid Sacks$7,697.84

19 people

AI

1Profile pictureLeopold Aschenbrenner$10,022.732Profile pictureAravind Srinivas$10,007.383Profile pictureAI 2040$10,004.584Profile pictureYann LeCun$9,982.805Profile pictureDemis Hassabis$9,947.306Profile pictureAndrew Ng$9,878.897Profile pictureSam Altman$9,835.898Profile pictureGreg Brockman$9,802.349Profile pictureDario Amodei$9,596.90

9 people

Crypto

1Profile pictureKyle Samani$10,411.612Profile pictureAnsem$20,236.353Profile pictureMert$20,007.364Profile pictureAnatoly Yakovenko$9,907.465Profile pictureThreadguy$9,867.696Profile pictureFlood$9,867.117Profile pictureBased16z$9,703.448Profile pictureArthur Hayes$8,181.94

8 people

Politics

1Profile pictureDerek Thompson$10,607.742Profile pictureNancy Pelosi$10,141.803Profile pictureGavin Newsom$10,107.014Profile pictureMatthew Yglesias$10,025.265Profile pictureHarry Enten$10,007.076Profile pictureIan Bremmer$10,001.657Profile pictureEzra Klein$9,956.248Profile pictureMegyn Kelly$9,954.459Profile pictureBen Shapiro$9,954.0110Profile pictureAOC$9,897.8411Profile pictureTucker Carlson$9,815.35

11 people

Sports

1Profile pictureNick Wright$10,245.122Profile pictureKendrick Perkins$10,000.773Profile pictureStephen A. Smith$9,688.224Profile pictureColin Cowherd$9,540.045Profile pictureBill Simmons$9,520.486Profile pictureSkip Bayless$9,142.25

6 people

Venture

1Profile pictureMike Solana$10,121.032Profile pictureKeith Rabois$9,838.363Profile pictureDavid Friedberg$9,767.214Profile pictureJason Calacanis$9,726.735Profile pictureChamath Palihapitiya$9,703.366Profile pictureBill Gurley$9,181.157Profile pictureChris Dixon$8,927.28

7 people

Recent Trades