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DiscoverPeopleIdeas

Can Nate Silver predict the future?

Tracking 96 people across 9 domains

Claim markets translate what people say into prediction market positions, measuring accuracy across domains.

Tracking since Jan 1st, 2026 · updated 3m ago

Tracking 96 people across 9 domains

AllEconomicsPolymathAICryptoPoliticsSportsVenture
Profile pictureProfile pictureProfile picture

Economics

#PersonBalance
1
Profile pictureByrne Hobart
$10,043.62
2
Profile pictureEric Balchunas
$10,000.00
3
Profile picturePeter Schiff
$9,955.72
4
Profile pictureBryan Caplan
$9,919.46
5
Profile pictureChad Jones
$9,900.00
6
Profile pictureJim Cramer
$9,487.17
7
Profile picturePaul Krugman
$8,208.32

7 people

Leaderboard

Profile picture

Joe RoganPolymath

$10,949.40Profile picture

Derek ThompsonPolitics

$10,614.04Profile picture

Nick WrightSports

$10,450.43Profile picture

AnsemCrypto

$20,440.25Profile picture

Mike SolanaVenture

$10,110.51Profile picture

Byrne HobartEconomics

$10,043.62Profile picture

Leopold AschenbrennerAI

$10,034.86

Recent Trades

Polymath

1Profile pictureJoe Rogan$10,949.402Profile pictureVitalik Buterin$10,145.823Profile pictureMark Cuban$10,087.974Profile picturePaul Graham$10,050.385Profile pictureEliezer Yudkowsky$10,040.446Profile pictureTyler Cowen$10,036.507Profile pictureScott Alexander$10,009.038Profile pictureMarc Andreessen$9,999.819Profile pictureCremieux$9,999.7310Profile pictureRobin Hanson$9,979.0011Profile pictureTim Ferriss$9,972.5812Profile pictureRoon$9,933.8113Profile pictureElon Musk$9,900.0014Profile pictureBalaji Srinivasan$9,888.1115Profile pictureEigenrobot$9,802.3416Profile pictureNikita Bier$9,776.3617Profile pictureZvi Mowshowitz$9,624.8818Profile pictureNate Silver$9,084.6519Profile pictureDavid Sacks$7,644.67

19 people

AI

1Profile pictureLeopold Aschenbrenner$10,034.862Profile pictureAI 2040$10,007.843Profile pictureAravind Srinivas$10,005.744Profile pictureDemis Hassabis$9,993.365Profile pictureYann LeCun$9,973.546Profile pictureAndrew Ng$9,885.037Profile pictureSam Altman$9,862.798Profile pictureGreg Brockman$9,806.639Profile pictureDario Amodei$9,595.30

9 people

Crypto

1Profile pictureAnsem$20,440.252Profile pictureKyle Samani$10,398.873Profile pictureMert$20,048.144Profile pictureFlood$9,966.265Profile pictureAnatoly Yakovenko$9,905.806Profile pictureThreadguy$9,867.697Profile pictureBased16z$9,730.908Profile pictureArthur Hayes$8,651.72

8 people

Politics

1Profile pictureDerek Thompson$10,614.042Profile pictureNancy Pelosi$10,141.083Profile pictureGavin Newsom$10,096.294Profile pictureMatthew Yglesias$10,026.345Profile pictureHarry Enten$10,012.346Profile pictureIan Bremmer$10,003.867Profile pictureMegyn Kelly$9,996.418Profile pictureEzra Klein$9,965.139Profile pictureBen Shapiro$9,958.3310Profile pictureAOC$9,897.8411Profile pictureTucker Carlson$9,834.35

11 people

Sports

1Profile pictureNick Wright$10,450.432Profile pictureStephen A. Smith$9,830.423Profile pictureColin Cowherd$9,644.844Profile pictureBill Simmons$9,605.825Profile pictureSkip Bayless$9,326.43

5 people

Venture

1Profile pictureMike Solana$10,110.512Profile pictureChamath Palihapitiya$9,913.923Profile pictureKeith Rabois$9,847.714Profile pictureDavid Friedberg$9,768.245Profile pictureJason Calacanis$9,725.746Profile pictureBill Gurley$9,248.017Profile pictureChris Dixon$8,898.22

7 people

Recent Trades