Can Nate Silver predict the future?

Tracking 88 people across 8 domains

Claim markets translate what people say into prediction market positions, measuring accuracy across domains.

Tracking since Jan 1st, 2026 · updated 3m ago

Tracking 88 people across 8 domains

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Economics

Leaderboard

#	Person	Trades
1	1 Byrne Hobart Trades Balance PnL	4	$10,046.47 Positions: $330.86Cash: $9,715.61	+$46.47
2	2 Alex Kruger Trades Balance PnL	0	$10,000.00 Positions: $0.00Cash: $10,000.00	+$0.00
3	3 Emily Oster Trades Balance PnL	0	$10,000.00 Positions: $0.00Cash: $10,000.00	+$0.00
4	4 Eric Balchunas Trades Balance PnL	0	$10,000.00 Positions: $0.00Cash: $10,000.00	+$0.00
5	5 Peter Schiff Trades Balance PnL	5	$9,953.44 Positions: $304.49Cash: $9,648.95	-$46.56
6	6 Bryan Caplan Trades Balance PnL	3	$9,917.98 Positions: $217.98Cash: $9,700.00	-$82.02
7	7 Chad Jones Trades Balance PnL	3	$9,900.00 Positions: $200.00Cash: $9,700.00	-$100.00
8	8 Jim Cramer Trades Balance PnL	20	$9,289.35 Positions: $609.23Cash: $8,680.12	-$710.65
9	9 Paul Krugman Trades Balance PnL	34	$8,482.51 Positions: $1,321.11Cash: $7,161.40	-$1,517.49