Can Nate Silver predict the future?

Tracking 88 people across 8 domains

Claim markets translate what people say into prediction market positions, measuring accuracy across domains.

Tracking since Jan 1st, 2026 · updated 2m ago

Tracking 88 people across 8 domains

Economics

#	Person	Trades
1	1 Peter Schiff Trades Balance PnL	7	$10,195.97 Positions: $483.86Cash: $9,712.11	+$195.97
2	2 Byrne Hobart Trades Balance PnL	4	$10,022.34 Positions: $306.73Cash: $9,715.61	+$22.34
3	3 Bryan Caplan Trades Balance PnL	3	$9,919.46 Positions: $219.46Cash: $9,700.00	-$80.54
4	4 Chad Jones Trades Balance PnL	3	$9,900.00 Positions: $0.00Cash: $9,900.00	-$100.00
5	5 Jim Cramer Trades Balance PnL	21	$9,394.80 Positions: $694.93Cash: $8,699.88	-$605.20
6	6 Paul Krugman Trades Balance PnL	34	$8,550.00 Positions: $1,388.60Cash: $7,161.40	-$1,450.00