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Can Nate Silver predict the future?

Tracking 97 people across 9 domains

Claim markets translate what people say into prediction market positions, measuring accuracy across domains.

Tracking since Jan 1st, 2026 · updated 2m ago

Tracking 97 people across 9 domains

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Claim Markets
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Economics

Leaderboard

#PersonTrades
1
1
Profile pictureByrne Hobart
Trades
Balance
PnL
4$10,011.02
Positions: $295.41Cash: $9,715.61
+$11.02
2
2
Profile picturePeter Schiff
Trades
Balance
PnL
15$9,940.62
Positions: $699.39Cash: $9,241.24
-$59.38
3
3
Profile pictureEric Balchunas
Trades
Balance
PnL
2$9,921.05
Positions: $121.05Cash: $9,800.00
-$78.95
4
4
Profile pictureBryan Caplan
Trades
Balance
PnL
3$9,917.60
Positions: $217.60Cash: $9,700.00
-$82.40
5
5
Profile pictureChad Jones
Trades
Balance
PnL
3$9,900.00
Positions: $0.00Cash: $9,900.00
-$100.00
6
6
Profile pictureJim Cramer
Trades
Balance
PnL
28$9,408.49
Positions: $640.21Cash: $8,768.28
-$591.51
7
7
Profile picturePaul Krugman
Trades
Balance
PnL
39$8,182.73
Positions: $1,521.33Cash: $6,661.40
-$1,817.27