Vistadex logo
DiscoverMy Bets
Vistadex logo

Explore

DiscoverPeopleIdeasClaim MarketsIndices

Resources

AboutBlogDocsTerms of Service

© 2026 Capitola Labs

DiscoverMy Bets

Can Nate Silver predict the future?

Tracking 97 people across 9 domains

Claim markets translate what people say into prediction market positions, measuring accuracy across domains.

Tracking since Jan 1st, 2026 · updated 1m ago

Tracking 97 people across 9 domains

AllEconomicsPolymathAICryptoPoliticsSportsVenture
Claim Markets
Profile pictureProfile pictureProfile picture

AI

Leaderboard

#PersonTrades
1
1
Profile pictureLeopold Aschenbrenner
Trades
Balance
PnL
2$10,022.73
Positions: $222.73Cash: $9,800.00
+$22.73
2
2
Profile pictureAravind Srinivas
Trades
Balance
PnL
1$10,007.38
Positions: $107.38Cash: $9,900.00
+$7.38
3
3
Profile pictureAI 2040
Trades
Balance
PnL
1$10,004.58
Positions: $104.58Cash: $9,900.00
+$4.58
4
4
Profile pictureYann LeCun
Trades
Balance
PnL
4$9,982.80
Positions: $382.80Cash: $9,600.00
-$17.20
5
5
Profile pictureDemis Hassabis
Trades
Balance
PnL
4$9,942.53
Positions: $342.53Cash: $9,600.00
-$57.47
6
6
Profile pictureAndrew Ng
Trades
Balance
PnL
3$9,878.89
Positions: $178.89Cash: $9,700.00
-$121.11
7
7
Profile pictureSam Altman
Trades
Balance
PnL
14$9,835.43
Positions: $984.12Cash: $8,851.31
-$164.57
8
8
Profile pictureGreg Brockman
Trades
Balance
PnL
4$9,802.58
Positions: $64.69Cash: $9,737.89
-$197.42
9
9
Profile pictureDario Amodei
Trades
Balance
PnL
5$9,596.90
Positions: $96.90Cash: $9,500.00
-$403.10