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Can Nate Silver predict the future?

Tracking 64 people across 7 domains

Claim markets translate what people say into prediction market positions, measuring accuracy across domains.

Tracking since Jan 1st, 2026 · updated 1m ago

Tracking 64 people across 7 domains

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Leaderboard

#PersonTradesBalance
1
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Leopold Aschenbrenner
0$10,000.00
Positions: $0.00Cash: $10,000.00
+$0.00
2
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Mira Murati
0$10,000.00
Positions: $0.00Cash: $10,000.00
+$0.00
3
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Andrew Ng
2$9,935.64
Positions: $135.64Cash: $9,800.00
-$64.36
4
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Dario Amodei
5$9,642.68
Positions: $142.68Cash: $9,500.00
-$357.32
5
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Greg Brockman
1——
6
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Sam Altman
9——
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