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Can Nate Silver predict the future?

Tracking 97 people across 9 domains

Claim markets translate what people say into prediction market positions, measuring accuracy across domains.

Tracking since Jan 1st, 2026 · updated 2m ago

Tracking 97 people across 9 domains

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Claim Markets
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Politics

Leaderboard

#PersonTrades
1
1
Profile pictureDerek Thompson
Trades
Balance
PnL
9$10,607.74
Positions: $706.61Cash: $9,901.13
+$607.74
2
2
Profile pictureNancy Pelosi
Trades
Balance
PnL
6$10,141.80
Positions: $524.41Cash: $9,617.39
+$141.80
3
3
Profile pictureGavin Newsom
Trades
Balance
PnL
10$10,107.13
Positions: $1,107.13Cash: $9,000.00
+$107.13
4
4
Profile pictureMatthew Yglesias
Trades
Balance
PnL
6$10,026.00
Positions: $626.00Cash: $9,400.00
+$26.00
5
5
Profile pictureHarry Enten
Trades
Balance
PnL
2$10,007.07
Positions: $207.07Cash: $9,800.00
+$7.07
6
6
Profile pictureIan Bremmer
Trades
Balance
PnL
4$10,000.49
Positions: $299.38Cash: $9,701.11
+$0.49
7
7
Profile pictureEzra Klein
Trades
Balance
PnL
2$9,956.24
Positions: $156.24Cash: $9,800.00
-$43.76
8
8
Profile pictureBen Shapiro
Trades
Balance
PnL
23$9,953.42
Positions: $2,253.42Cash: $7,700.00
-$46.58
9
9
Profile pictureMegyn Kelly
Trades
Balance
PnL
15$9,950.21
Positions: $1,450.21Cash: $8,500.00
-$49.79
10
10
Profile pictureAOC
Trades
Balance
PnL
4$9,897.84
Positions: $297.84Cash: $9,600.00
-$102.16
11
11
Profile pictureTucker Carlson
Trades
Balance
PnL
9$9,815.35
Positions: $715.35Cash: $9,100.00
-$184.65