Can Nate Silver predict the future?
Nate SilverTracking 64 people across 7 domains
Claim markets translate what people say into prediction market positions, measuring accuracy across domains.
Tracking since Jan 1st, 2026 · updated just now
Tracking 64 people across 7 domains
Claim Markets
Politics
Leaderboard
| # | Person | Trades | Balance | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Derek Thompson | 8 | $10,638.50 Positions: $1,438.50Cash: $9,200.00 | +$638.50 | |
| 2 |  Gavin Newsom | 3 | $10,034.37 Positions: $334.37Cash: $9,700.00 | +$34.37 | |
| 3 |  Megyn Kelly | 9 | $9,968.27 Positions: $868.27Cash: $9,100.00 | -$31.73 | |
| 4 |  Ezra Klein | 2 | $9,934.30 Positions: $134.30Cash: $9,800.00 | -$65.70 | |
| 5 |  AOC | 1 | — | — | |
| 6 |  Ben Shapiro | 3 | — | — | |
| 7 |  Nancy Pelosi | 4 | — | — | |
| 8 |  Tucker Carlson | 4 | — | — |