Can Nate Silver predict the future?

Claim markets translate what people say into prediction market positions, measuring accuracy across domains.

Tracking since Jan 1st, 2026 · updated 4m ago

Tracking 74 people across 8 domains

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#PersonTrades
1
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Mert
6$9,931.66-$68.34
2
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Anatoly Yakovenko
1$9,925.29-$74.71
3
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Ansem
20$9,924.73-$75.27
4
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Arthur Hayes
46$8,490.31-$1,509.69
5
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Based16z
2
6
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Flood
15
7
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Kyle Samani
8
8
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Threadguy
1
9
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Vibhu
0