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Can Nate Silver predict the future?

Tracking 64 people across 7 domains

Claim markets translate what people say into prediction market positions, measuring accuracy across domains.

Tracking since Jan 1st, 2026 · updated just now

Tracking 64 people across 7 domains

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Crypto

Leaderboard

#PersonTradesBalance
1
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Ansem
18$10,009.75
Positions: $1,809.75Cash: $8,200.00
+$9.75
2
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Mert
6$9,952.24
Positions: $552.24Cash: $9,400.00
-$47.76
3
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Anatoly Yakovenko
1$9,944.12
Positions: $44.12Cash: $9,900.00
-$55.88
4
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Arthur Hayes
46$9,059.63
Positions: $3,659.63Cash: $5,400.00
-$940.37
5
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Based16z
2——
6
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Flood
18——
7
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Kyle Samani
8——
8
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Threadguy
1——
9
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Vibhu
0——
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