Can Nate Silver predict the future?

Tracking 88 people across 8 domains

Claim markets translate what people say into prediction market positions, measuring accuracy across domains.

Tracking since Jan 1st, 2026 · updated 3m ago

Tracking 88 people across 8 domains

All Economics Health Polymath AI Crypto Politics Sports Venture

Crypto

Leaderboard

#	Person	Trades
1	1 Ansem Trades Balance PnL	25	$10,662.79 Positions: $1,279.16Cash: $9,383.64	+$662.79
2	2 Arthur Hayes Trades Balance PnL	52	$10,532.52 Positions: $5,631.62Cash: $4,900.91	+$532.52
3	3 Kyle Samani Trades Balance PnL	8	$10,187.42 Positions: $987.42Cash: $9,200.00	+$187.42
4	4 Flood Trades Balance PnL	16	$10,107.77 Positions: $1,295.78Cash: $8,811.99	+$107.77
5	5 Mert Trades Balance PnL	7	$10,010.02 Positions: $301.86Cash: $9,708.16	+$10.02
6	6 Vibhu Trades Balance PnL	0	$10,000.00 Positions: $0.00Cash: $10,000.00	+$0.00
7	7 Based16z Trades Balance PnL	6	$9,987.65 Positions: $482.93Cash: $9,504.71	-$12.35
8	8 Anatoly Yakovenko Trades Balance PnL	1	$9,935.29 Positions: $35.29Cash: $9,900.00	-$64.71
9	9 Threadguy Trades Balance PnL	1	$9,900.00 Positions: $0.00Cash: $9,900.00	-$100.00