Can Nate Silver predict the future?
Nate SilverTracking 74 people across 8 domains
Claim markets translate what people say into prediction market positions, measuring accuracy across domains.
Tracking since Jan 1st, 2026 · updated just now
Tracking 74 people across 8 domains
Claim Markets
Polymath
Leaderboard
| # | Person | Trades | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Joe Rogan | 4 | $10,807.20 Positions: $1,207.20Cash: $9,600.00 | +$807.20 | |
| 2 |  Robin Hanson | 3 | $9,987.77 Positions: $287.77Cash: $9,700.00 | -$12.23 | |
| 3 |  Balaji Srinivasan | 2 | $9,882.26 Positions: $82.26Cash: $9,800.00 | -$117.74 | |
| 4 |  Zvi Mowshowitz | 8 | $9,619.06 Positions: $419.06Cash: $9,200.00 | -$380.94 | |
| 5 |  Chamath Palihapitiya | 12 | — | — | |
| 6 |  David Friedberg | 4 | — | — | |
| 7 |  David Sacks | 40 | — | — | |
| 8 |  Eigenrobot | 4 | — | — | |
| 9 |  Eliezer Yudkowsky | 1 | — | — | |
| 10 |  Elon Musk | 0 | — | — | |
| 11 |  Jason Calacanis | 6 | — | — | |
| 12 |  Marc Andreessen | 2 | — | — | |
| 13 |  Mark Cuban | 8 | — | — | |
| 14 |  Nate Silver | 41 | — | — | |
| 15 |  Nikita Bier | 3 | — | — | |
| 16 |  Paul Graham | 1 | — | — | |
| 17 |  Phil Hellmuth | 0 | — | — | |
| 18 |  Roon | 4 | — | — | |
| 19 |  Scott Alexander | 1 | — | — | |
| 20 |  Tim Ferriss | 1 | — | — | |
| 21 |  Tyler Cowen | 1 | — | — | |
| 22 |  Vitalik Buterin | 6 | — | — |