Can Nate Silver predict the future?

Tracking 88 people across 8 domains

Claim markets translate what people say into prediction market positions, measuring accuracy across domains.

Tracking since Jan 1st, 2026 · updated 4m ago

Tracking 88 people across 8 domains

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Venture

Leaderboard

#	Person	Trades
1	1 Mike Solana Trades Balance PnL	8	$10,120.09 Positions: $93.78Cash: $10,026.31	+$120.09
2	2 Keith Rabois Trades Balance PnL	6	$10,018.31 Positions: $618.31Cash: $9,400.00	+$18.31
3	3 Dalton Caldwell Trades Balance PnL	0	$10,000.00 Positions: $0.00Cash: $10,000.00	+$0.00
4	4 Garry Tan Trades Balance PnL	0	$10,000.00 Positions: $0.00Cash: $10,000.00	+$0.00
5	5 Justine Moore Trades Balance PnL	0	$10,000.00 Positions: $0.00Cash: $10,000.00	+$0.00
6	6 Michael Seibel Trades Balance PnL	0	$10,000.00 Positions: $0.00Cash: $10,000.00	+$0.00
7	7 Mike Maples Jr Trades Balance PnL	0	$10,000.00 Positions: $0.00Cash: $10,000.00	+$0.00
8	8 Bill Gurley Trades Balance PnL	14	$9,441.95 Positions: $841.95Cash: $8,600.00	-$558.05
9	9 Chris Dixon Trades Balance PnL	12	$9,090.65 Positions: $290.65Cash: $8,800.00	-$909.35