Can Nate Silver predict the future?

Tracking 96 people across 9 domains

Claim markets translate what people say into prediction market positions, measuring accuracy across domains.

Tracking since Jan 1st, 2026 · updated 3m ago

Tracking 96 people across 9 domains

Venture

#	Person	Trades
1	1 Mike Solana Trades Balance PnL	8	$10,104.28 Positions: $77.97Cash: $10,026.31	+$104.28
2	2 Chamath Palihapitiya Trades Balance PnL	14	$9,930.04 Positions: $1,330.04Cash: $8,600.00	-$69.96
3	3 Keith Rabois Trades Balance PnL	7	$9,846.44 Positions: $546.44Cash: $9,300.00	-$153.56
4	4 David Friedberg Trades Balance PnL	4	$9,766.88 Positions: $166.88Cash: $9,600.00	-$233.12
5	5 Jason Calacanis Trades Balance PnL	7	$9,722.39 Positions: $422.39Cash: $9,300.00	-$277.61
6	6 Bill Gurley Trades Balance PnL	14	$9,253.63 Positions: $653.63Cash: $8,600.00	-$746.37
7	7 Chris Dixon Trades Balance PnL	12	$8,901.23 Positions: $101.23Cash: $8,800.00	-$1,098.77