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Can Nate Silver predict the future?

Tracking 97 people across 9 domains

Claim markets translate what people say into prediction market positions, measuring accuracy across domains.

Tracking since Jan 1st, 2026 · updated 2m ago

Tracking 97 people across 9 domains

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Venture

Leaderboard

#PersonTrades
1
1
Profile pictureMike Solana
Trades
Balance
PnL
8$10,119.68
Positions: $93.37Cash: $10,026.31
+$119.68
2
2
Profile pictureKeith Rabois
Trades
Balance
PnL
7$9,839.34
Positions: $539.34Cash: $9,300.00
-$160.66
3
3
Profile pictureDavid Friedberg
Trades
Balance
PnL
4$9,767.21
Positions: $167.21Cash: $9,600.00
-$232.79
4
4
Profile pictureJason Calacanis
Trades
Balance
PnL
7$9,727.22
Positions: $427.22Cash: $9,300.00
-$272.78
5
5
Profile pictureChamath Palihapitiya
Trades
Balance
PnL
14$9,705.30
Positions: $1,105.30Cash: $8,600.00
-$294.70
6
6
Profile pictureBill Gurley
Trades
Balance
PnL
14$9,182.43
Positions: $582.43Cash: $8,600.00
-$817.57
7
7
Profile pictureChris Dixon
Trades
Balance
PnL
12$8,927.28
Positions: $127.28Cash: $8,800.00
-$1,072.72