Polymarket

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Democrats 16%+

Republicans 4-6%

Democrats 14-16%

Republicans 2-4%

Republicans 6%+

Democrats 0-2%

Democrats 10-12%

Democrats 12-14%

Democrats 2-4%

Democrats 4-6%

Democrats 6-8%

Democrats 8-10%

Republicans 0-2%

Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?

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