Geopolitics · GDEM · Illustrative

Global Democracy Index

Combines election integrity, leadership transition, civil-liberty, and institutional-stability markets worldwide.

Illustrative index level

51.3

-2.1 sample change

0 = democratic retreat · 100 = democratic resilience

Change (30D)

-2.1 pts

Constituents

4

High (30D)

53.40

Low (30D)

51.30

Sample history
Sample snapshot · July 20, 2026

Constituents

Example weighted inputs from external prediction markets.

  • ELEC

    Election integrity

    Down
    Level
    56.10
    Weight
    30.0%
    30D
    -2.1 pts

  • TRANS

    Peaceful transitions

    Down
    Level
    48.90
    Weight
    25.0%
    30D
    -1.5 pts

  • CIVIL

    Civil liberties

    Up
    Level
    52.90
    Weight
    25.0%
    30D
    +0.8 pts

  • INST

    Institutional stability

    Down
    Level
    48.10
    Weight
    20.0%
    30D
    -1.1 pts

Sample settlements

Recent illustrative observations, newest first.

SettlementValue
Jul 20, 202651.30
Jul 14, 202651.80
Jul 8, 202652.20
Jul 2, 202652.80
Jun 26, 202653.00
Jun 20, 202653.40