US Politics · RPFI · Illustrative

Republican Political Future Index

Tracks the strength of Republican electoral, governing, and policy expectations across U.S. prediction markets.

Illustrative index level

90.7

-0.4 sample change

0 = weaker Republican outlook · 100 = stronger Republican outlook

Change (30D)

-0.4 pts

Constituents

5

High (30D)

91.32

Low (30D)

90.42

Sample history
Sample snapshot · July 20, 2026

Constituents

Example weighted inputs from external prediction markets.

  • PRESR

    Presidential (R)

    Up
    Level
    91.00
    Weight
    40.0%
    30D
    +0.5 pts

  • SENR

    Senate (R)

    Up
    Level
    100.00
    Weight
    30.0%
    30D
    +0.2 pts

  • HOUSER

    House (R)

    Down
    Level
    74.23
    Weight
    20.0%
    30D
    -0.4 pts

  • GOVR

    Gubernatorial (R)

    Up
    Level
    94.74
    Weight
    8.0%
    30D
    +0.4 pts

  • MAYORR

    Mayoral (R)

    Flat
    Level
    100.00
    Weight
    2.0%
    30D
    +0.0 pts

Sample settlements

Recent illustrative observations, newest first.

SettlementValue
Jul 20, 202690.70
Jul 14, 202690.55
Jul 8, 202690.95
Jul 2, 202691.11
Jun 26, 202691.15
Jun 20, 202691.11