US Politics · DPFI · Illustrative
Democrat Political Future Index
Combines election, governing, and policy markets into one view of the Democratic Party’s future position.
Illustrative index level
46.2
-1.9 sample change
0 = weaker Democratic outlook · 100 = stronger Democratic outlook
Change (30D)
-1.9 pts
Constituents
4
High (30D)
48.10
Low (30D)
46.20
Constituents
Example weighted inputs from external prediction markets.
- Down
PRESD
Presidential (D)
- Level
- 51.00
- Weight
- 30.0%
- 30D
- -1.9 pts
- Down
HOUSED
House (D)
- Level
- 43.80
- Weight
- 25.0%
- 30D
- -1.3 pts
- Up
SEND
Senate (D)
- Level
- 47.80
- Weight
- 25.0%
- 30D
- +0.8 pts
- Down
GOVD
State-level power (D)
- Level
- 43.00
- Weight
- 20.0%
- 30D
- -0.9 pts
Sample settlements
Recent illustrative observations, newest first.
| Settlement | Value |
|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2026 | 46.20 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | 46.80 |
| Jul 8, 2026 | 47.30 |
| Jul 2, 2026 | 47.80 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | 48.00 |
| Jun 20, 2026 | 48.10 |