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@ryanchern
@ryanchern on X
8
bets
·
$129
staked
·
2–4
settled
Bet against @ryanchern
@ryanchern's bets
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Open
12
Active
1
Settled
6
Will all of Just Write's November 2026 members finish all four essays on time?
50%
YES
Anyone
VS
NO
@ryanchern
@ryanchern
Take YES at 50%
$25.00 left
Open
· $25
committed
Expires Dec 11
Will San Francisco's typical home value be above $1.5 million on December 31, 2026?
45%
YES
Anyone
VS
NO
@ryanchern
@ryanchern
Take YES at 45%
$20.43 left
Open
· $25
committed
Expires Dec 11
Will Kalshi's December 2026 trading volume exceed its November 2026 volume?
60%
YES
@ryanchern
@ryanchern
VS
NO
Anyone
Take NO at 40%
$16.66 left
Open
· $25
committed
Expires Dec 10
Will U.S. real GDP per capita grow at least 15% in a single year by December 31, 2033?
20%
YES
@ryanchern
@ryanchern
VS
NO
Anyone
Take NO at 80%
$100.00 left
Open
· $25
committed
Expires Nov 28
Will the US unemployment rate for November 2027 be above 4.5%?
24%
YES
Anyone
VS
NO
@ryanchern
@ryanchern
Take YES at 24%
$7.92 left
Open
· $25
committed
Expires Dec 11
Will Solana's average slot time fall below 175 milliseconds by March 31, 2027?
10%
YES
Anyone
VS
NO
@ryanchern
@ryanchern
Take YES at 10%
$5.55 left
Open
· $50
committed
Expires Dec 11
Will MetaDAO's META token reach $6.00 by March 31, 2027?
20%
YES
Anyone
VS
NO
@ryanchern
@ryanchern
Take YES at 20%
$6.24 left
Open
· $25
committed
Expires Dec 9
Will Solana mainnet stop producing blocks for more than 1 hour by December 31, 2027?
2%
YES
Anyone
VS
NO
@ryanchern
@ryanchern
Take YES at 2%
$0.51 left
Open
· $25
committed
Expires Dec 9
Will a company run with zero human workers report $10M in annual revenue by December 31, 2027?
10%
YES
Anyone
VS
NO
@ryanchern
@ryanchern
Take YES at 10%
$2.78 left
Open
· $25
committed
Expires Dec 9
Will metadao.fi's Colosseum page list at least 4 Colosseum-sponsored companies by March 31, 2027?
25%
YES
@crabbylions
@mattytay
@crabbylions
+1
VS
NO
@ryanchern
@ryanchern
Take YES at 25%
$1.66 left
Open
· $92
committed
Will the average Ornn H100 rental price in December 2026 exceed $4.00 per GPU-hour?
30%
YES
Anyone
VS
NO
@ryanchern
@ryanchern
Take YES at 30%
$10.62 left
Open
· $25
committed
Expires Dec 7
Will a quantum computer break a real Bitcoin public key under the listed market's verification standard by December 31, 2026?
1%
YES
Anyone
VS
NO
@ryanchern
@ryanchern
Take YES at 1%
$0.25 left
Open
· $25
committed
Expires Dec 7
Will Adjacent's AI Capability Efficiency Index (ACE) post an official daily value below 900 on any Index Calculation Day from Nov 9 through Nov 20, 2026?
55%
YES
@ryanchern
@ryanchern
VS
NO
@0xperp
@0xperp
Already matched
Active
· $45
committed
Settled
Will Heat win Heat vs. Warriors?
@ryanchern
YES
at 39%
Lost $3.72
Chicago vs Seattle: Chicago wins?
@ryanchern
NO
at 62%
Lost $10.00
Will Steelers win Browns vs. Steelers?
@ryanchern
YES
at 65%
Won $13.76
Yann LeCun predicts that moving AI beyond digital models into hardware applications could accelerate manufacturing and reshape industrial processes.
@ryanchern
YES
at 75%
Won $0.03
QA TEST ONLY — Will Bitcoin close above $100,000 on December 31, 2026?
@ryanchern
NO
at 25%
Lost $0.01
The decline of births associated with declining relationship formation will contribute to fewer people over time.
@ryanchern
NO
at 50%
Lost $0.10
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