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Will all of Just Write's November 2026 members finish all four essays on time?

Created byProfile picture@ryanchernOffer expires in 26 days (Dec 11, 3:06 PM PT)
YESAnyone$25 to take
$25
YES$0NO$25$25 left to take
NO$25 at 50%

Bet
Odds
50%
Amount
$
To win
$50.00
YES
This market resolves YES if every member committed to the November 2026 cohort of Just Write (justwrite.club, an online writing club whose members commit to publish four essays over four weeks) publishes all four required essays on time, as reported by Just Write or its organizers. Otherwise it resolves NO. "On time" and "completed" mean what Just Write itself counts as completing the November 2026 cohort, for example having the $1,000 deposit refunded for publishing all four essays on time. The committed members are the members Just Write or its organizers report for the cohort; if they report no member count, they are the 69 names listed as Committed on justwrite.club on November 11, 2026, so all 69 must complete. A member who withdraws, is removed, or forfeits the deposit counts as not completing, so a single such member makes this market resolve NO. The first count Just Write or its organizers publish on its site, its newsletter, or their public posts controls. If neither Just Write nor its organizers publicly report a completion count by January 31, 2027 11:59 p.m. PT, the market resolves void and stakes are returned. The primary resolution source is Just Write (justwrite.club) and its organizers' public posts. If that source is unavailable, ambiguous, or silent, this market resolves according to a consensus of credible reporting: at least two independent, reputable news organizations or official sources (for example Reuters, the Associated Press, Bloomberg, The Wall Street Journal, or the relevant court, agency or company) reporting that the condition was or was not met within the stated window. Opinion pieces, social media posts, and reports relying on a single anonymous source do not count.
NO
The YES condition is not met by the event deadline.
Offer expires
Dec 11, 3:06 PM PT
Ends
Jan 31, 2027
Result source
https://justwrite.club/

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