Will San Francisco's typical home value be above $1.5 million on December 31, 2026?

Created by

@ryanchernOffer expires in 26 days

YESAnyone$20.43 to take

$20.43 left to take

NO$24.97 at 55%

YES: This market resolves YES if the most recent monthly Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) value for the city of San Francisco, California that Zillow has published as of December 31, 2026 11:59 p.m. ET is above $1,500,000. Otherwise it resolves NO. The index is Zillow's typical home value for all homes (single-family and condo), middle tier, smoothed and seasonally adjusted, for the city of San Francisco (Zillow region 20330): the figure Zillow shows as the typical San Francisco home value on its San Francisco home values page and in its public city-level ZHVI data file. The value counts as first published by Zillow; later revisions do not change the result. A value of exactly $1,500,000 resolves NO. County, metro, single-family-only, ZIP-code and other tiers do not count, and neither do sale prices, listing prices or other publishers' indices. A change in Zillow's method counts if Zillow still publishes the figure as the typical home value for San Francisco. The primary resolution source is Zillow's Home Value Index (zillow.com/research/data, city-level ZHVI, San Francisco). If that source is unavailable, ambiguous, or silent, this market resolves according to a consensus of credible reporting: at least two independent, reputable news organizations or official sources (for example Reuters, the Associated Press, Bloomberg, The Wall Street Journal, or the relevant court, agency or company) reporting that the condition was or was not met within the stated window. Opinion pieces, social media posts, and reports relying on a single anonymous source do not count.
NO: The YES condition is not met by the event deadline.
Offer expires: Dec 11, 12:29 PM PT
Ends: Dec 31, 2026
Result source: https://files.zillowstatic.com/research/public_csvs/zhvi/City_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv

Will San Francisco's typical home value be above $1.5 million on December 31, 2026?

Created by

@ryanchernOffer expires in 26 days

YESAnyone$20.43 to take

$20.43 left to take

NO$24.97 at 55%

YES: This market resolves YES if the most recent monthly Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) value for the city of San Francisco, California that Zillow has published as of December 31, 2026 11:59 p.m. ET is above $1,500,000. Otherwise it resolves NO. The index is Zillow's typical home value for all homes (single-family and condo), middle tier, smoothed and seasonally adjusted, for the city of San Francisco (Zillow region 20330): the figure Zillow shows as the typical San Francisco home value on its San Francisco home values page and in its public city-level ZHVI data file. The value counts as first published by Zillow; later revisions do not change the result. A value of exactly $1,500,000 resolves NO. County, metro, single-family-only, ZIP-code and other tiers do not count, and neither do sale prices, listing prices or other publishers' indices. A change in Zillow's method counts if Zillow still publishes the figure as the typical home value for San Francisco. The primary resolution source is Zillow's Home Value Index (zillow.com/research/data, city-level ZHVI, San Francisco). If that source is unavailable, ambiguous, or silent, this market resolves according to a consensus of credible reporting: at least two independent, reputable news organizations or official sources (for example Reuters, the Associated Press, Bloomberg, The Wall Street Journal, or the relevant court, agency or company) reporting that the condition was or was not met within the stated window. Opinion pieces, social media posts, and reports relying on a single anonymous source do not count.
NO: The YES condition is not met by the event deadline.
Offer expires: Dec 11, 12:29 PM PT
Ends: Dec 31, 2026
Result source: https://files.zillowstatic.com/research/public_csvs/zhvi/City_zhvi_uc_sfrcondo_tier_0.33_0.67_sm_sa_month.csv