Will Solana's average slot time fall below 175 milliseconds by March 31, 2027?

Created by

@ryanchernOffer expires in 26 days

YESAnyone$5.55 to take

$5.55 left to take

NO$49.95 at 90%

YES: This market resolves YES if, on each of 7 consecutive UTC calendar days that fall entirely between November 11, 2026 and March 31, 2027, the average slot time on Solana mainnet is below 175 milliseconds. Otherwise it resolves NO. Slot time is the measure the Solana Foundation's live monitor at solana.com/200ms reports as "measured slot time". Because that page shows only rolling averages, a day's average slot time is 86,400,000 milliseconds divided by the number of slots that elapsed on Solana mainnet during that UTC day: the slot of the first block with a block time at or after 00:00 UTC on the next day, minus the slot of the first block with a block time at or after 00:00 UTC on that day, as shown by explorer.solana.com or any Solana mainnet RPC node. Skipped slots count as elapsed slots. An average of exactly 175 milliseconds does not count. A day with a network halt or a gap in block production does not qualify. Slot time is not finality; finality and confirmation times do not count, and neither do targets, announcements, devnet, testnet or other clusters. A later rise above 175 milliseconds does not undo a YES. The primary resolution source is the Solana Foundation's monitor at solana.com/200ms and Solana mainnet slot and block-time data. If that source is unavailable, ambiguous, or silent, this market resolves according to a consensus of credible reporting: at least two independent, reputable news organizations or official sources (for example Reuters, the Associated Press, Bloomberg, The Wall Street Journal, or the relevant court, agency or company) reporting that the condition was or was not met within the stated window. Opinion pieces, social media posts, and reports relying on a single anonymous source do not count.
NO: The YES condition is not met by the event deadline.
Offer expires: Dec 11, 1:12 AM PT
Ends: Mar 31, 2027
Result source: https://solana.com/200ms

Will Solana's average slot time fall below 175 milliseconds by March 31, 2027?

Created by

@ryanchernOffer expires in 26 days

YESAnyone$5.55 to take

$5.55 left to take

NO$49.95 at 90%

YES: This market resolves YES if, on each of 7 consecutive UTC calendar days that fall entirely between November 11, 2026 and March 31, 2027, the average slot time on Solana mainnet is below 175 milliseconds. Otherwise it resolves NO. Slot time is the measure the Solana Foundation's live monitor at solana.com/200ms reports as "measured slot time". Because that page shows only rolling averages, a day's average slot time is 86,400,000 milliseconds divided by the number of slots that elapsed on Solana mainnet during that UTC day: the slot of the first block with a block time at or after 00:00 UTC on the next day, minus the slot of the first block with a block time at or after 00:00 UTC on that day, as shown by explorer.solana.com or any Solana mainnet RPC node. Skipped slots count as elapsed slots. An average of exactly 175 milliseconds does not count. A day with a network halt or a gap in block production does not qualify. Slot time is not finality; finality and confirmation times do not count, and neither do targets, announcements, devnet, testnet or other clusters. A later rise above 175 milliseconds does not undo a YES. The primary resolution source is the Solana Foundation's monitor at solana.com/200ms and Solana mainnet slot and block-time data. If that source is unavailable, ambiguous, or silent, this market resolves according to a consensus of credible reporting: at least two independent, reputable news organizations or official sources (for example Reuters, the Associated Press, Bloomberg, The Wall Street Journal, or the relevant court, agency or company) reporting that the condition was or was not met within the stated window. Opinion pieces, social media posts, and reports relying on a single anonymous source do not count.
NO: The YES condition is not met by the event deadline.
Offer expires: Dec 11, 1:12 AM PT
Ends: Mar 31, 2027
Result source: https://solana.com/200ms