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•Jul 14, 7:00 PM UTC

France vs. Spain - More Markets

O/U 0.593%2nd Half O/U 0.580%France O/U 0.579%O/U 1.577%Spain O/U 0.574%1st Half O/U 0.567%Team to Advance60%Both Teams to Score60%France 2nd Half O/U 0.559%Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.551%O/U 2.549%2nd Half O/U 1.547%France 1st Half O/U 0.546%France O/U 1.544%Spain 1st Half O/U 0.541%Spain O/U 1.535%1st Half O/U 1.531%Both Teams to Score in Second Half31%Will the Match Go to Extra Time?31%O/U 3.529%2nd Half O/U 2.522%France 2nd Half O/U 1.522%Both Teams to Score in First Half21%France (-1.5)19%Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.519%France O/U 2.518%Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?18%O/U 4.514%France 1st Half O/U 1.513%Spain (-1.5)12%Spain O/U 2.512%1st Half O/U 2.511%Spain 1st Half O/U 1.510%France (-2.5)6%O/U 5.56%Spain (-2.5)3%O/U 6.52%France (-3.5)2%Spain (-3.5)<1%O/U 7.5<1%France (-4.5)<1%O/U 8.5<1%Spain (-4.5)<1%France (-5.5)<1%Spain (-5.5)<1%
$15.9M vol45 markets

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Popular

1

World Cup Winner

France

39%
2

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

20%
3

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

42%
4

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

20%
5

F1 Drivers' Champion

Kimi Antonelli

59%

Politics

Fed Decision in July?

No change64%25 bps increase36%50+ bps increase<1%25 bps decrease<1%50+ bps decrease<1%
$53.6M vol5 markets

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom20%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%Jon Ossoff12%Kamala Harris7%Josh Shapiro5%Pete Buttigieg5%Jon Stewart2%Andy Beshear2%Ro Khanna2%Rahm Emanuel2%Wes Moore1%Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%Michelle Obama1%James Talarico1%Mark Kelly<1%Stephen A. Smith<1%Chelsea Clinton<1%Mark Cuban<1%Roy Cooper<1%J.B. Pritzker<1%Gretchen Whitmer<1%Cory Booker<1%Chris Murphy<1%MrBeast<1%Liz Cheney<1%Bernie Sanders<1%Jared Polis<1%Ruben Gallego<1%Oprah Winfrey<1%Hillary Clinton<1%Jasmine Crockett<1%Barack Obama<1%Gina Raimondo<1%Zohran Mamdani<1%Tim Walz<1%Hunter Biden<1%Phil Murphy<1%Kim Kardashian<1%Raphael Warnock<1%George Clooney<1%LeBron James<1%Andrew Yang<1%John Fetterman<1%Beto O’Rourke<1%Graham Platner<1%
$1.2B vol45 markets

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance20%Marco Rubio14%Gavin Newsom12%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8%Jon Ossoff7%Kamala Harris5%Josh Shapiro3%Pete Buttigieg2%Ron DeSantis2%Tucker Carlson2%Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson2%Donald Trump1%Thomas Massie1%Andy Beshear1%Donald Trump Jr.1%Ro Khanna1%James Talarico<1%Greg Abbott<1%Wes Moore<1%Michelle Obama<1%Ivanka Trump<1%Jamie Dimon<1%Tulsi Gabbard<1%Elon Musk<1%Glenn Youngkin<1%Nikki Haley<1%JB Pritzker<1%Kim Kardashian<1%Vivek Ramaswamy<1%Gretchen Whitmer<1%Pete Hegseth<1%Eric Trump<1%Stephen Smith<1%LeBron James<1%Tim Walz<1%Zohran Mamdani<1%Jalen Brunson<1%
$658.4M vol37 markets

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance42%Marco Rubio28%Tucker Carlson3%Ron DeSantis2%Donald Trump2%Donald Trump Jr.1%Vivek Ramaswamy1%Glenn Youngkin1%Ivanka Trump1%Ted Cruz<1%Tulsi Gabbard<1%Tom Brady<1%Elon Musk<1%Rand Paul<1%Greg Abbott<1%Sarah Huckabee Sanders<1%Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%Erika Kirk<1%Joe Kent<1%Josh Hawley<1%Eric Trump<1%Thomas Massie<1%Byron Donalds<1%Brian Kemp<1%Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%Steve Bannon<1%Matt Gaetz<1%Elise Stefanik<1%Nikki Haley<1%Kristi Noem<1%Pete Hegseth<1%Kim Kardashian<1%John Thune<1%Mike Pence<1%Katie Britt<1%
$673.2M vol35 markets

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Starmer - UK PM97%Petro - Colombia President<1%Netanyahu - Israel PM<1%Zelenskyy - Ukraine President<1%Putin - Russia President<1%Díaz-Canel - Cuba President<1%Trump - USA President<1%Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President<1%Abbas - President of Palestine<1%None before 2027<1%Merz - German Chancellor<1%Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea<1%Xi - General Secretary of the CCP<1%Sheinbaum - Mexico President<1%Lula da Silva - Brazil President<1%Newsom - California Governor<1%Albanese - Australia PM<1%Macron - France President<1%Lecornu - France PM<1%Erdoğan - Türkiye President<1%Milei - Argentina President<1%al-Sharaa - Syria President<1%Sánchez - Spanish PM<1%Takaichi - Japan PM<1%
$65.1M vol24 markets

Elon Musk # tweets July 7 - July 14, 2026?

180-19978%200-21920%220-239<1%460-479<1%340-359<1%400-419<1%480-499<1%240-259<1%420-439<1%500+<1%320-339<1%280-299<1%300-319<1%380-399<1%440-459<1%360-379<1%260-279<1%60-790%100-1190%140-1590%80-990%20-390%160-1790%<200%120-1390%40-590%
$3.5M vol26 markets

Sports

France vs. Spain - More Markets

O/U 0.593%2nd Half O/U 0.580%France O/U 0.579%O/U 1.577%Spain O/U 0.574%1st Half O/U 0.567%Team to Advance60%Both Teams to Score60%France 2nd Half O/U 0.559%Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.551%O/U 2.549%2nd Half O/U 1.547%France 1st Half O/U 0.546%France O/U 1.544%Spain 1st Half O/U 0.541%Spain O/U 1.535%1st Half O/U 1.531%Both Teams to Score in Second Half31%Will the Match Go to Extra Time?31%O/U 3.529%2nd Half O/U 2.522%France 2nd Half O/U 1.522%Both Teams to Score in First Half21%France (-1.5)19%Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.519%France O/U 2.518%Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?18%O/U 4.514%France 1st Half O/U 1.513%Spain (-1.5)12%Spain O/U 2.512%1st Half O/U 2.511%Spain 1st Half O/U 1.510%France (-2.5)6%O/U 5.56%Spain (-2.5)3%O/U 6.52%France (-3.5)2%Spain (-3.5)<1%O/U 7.5<1%France (-4.5)<1%O/U 8.5<1%Spain (-4.5)<1%France (-5.5)<1%Spain (-5.5)<1%
$15.9M vol45 markets

F1 Drivers' Champion

Kimi Antonelli59%George Russell20%Lewis Hamilton13%Lando Norris4%Charles Leclerc2%Max Verstappen2%Oscar Piastri<1%Arvid Lindblad<1%Liam Lawson<1%Pierre Gasly<1%Oliver Bearman<1%Isack Hadjar<1%Sergio Pérez<1%Franco Colapinto<1%Esteban Ocon<1%Carlos Sainz Jr.<1%Fernando Alonso<1%Lance Stroll<1%Valtteri Bottas<1%Alexander Albon<1%Nico Hülkenberg<1%Gabriel Bortoleto<1%
$194.9M vol22 markets

World Cup Winner

France39%England22%Spain21%Argentina17%Colombia0%Paraguay0%Iraq0%Morocco0%Ecuador0%Haiti0%Austria0%Italy0%Germany0%Mexico0%Senegal0%New Zealand0%South Africa0%Cape Verde0%Japan0%Netherlands0%Curaçao0%Jordan0%Panama0%Bosnia-Herzegovina0%Portugal0%Brazil0%Croatia0%Saudi Arabia0%Ivory Coast0%Turkiye0%Peru0%Qatar0%Norway0%Czechia0%Belgium0%Congo DR0%Sweden0%USA0%Switzerland0%Uzbekistan0%Algeria0%Iran0%Canada0%Australia0%Ghana0%Tunisia0%Scotland0%South Korea0%Egypt0%Uruguay0%
$4.2B vol50 markets

France vs. Spain - Exact Score

France 1 - 1 Spain14%France 2 - 1 Spain11%France 1 - 0 Spain9%France 1 - 2 Spain9%France 0 - 1 Spain8%Any Other Score8%France 0 - 0 Spain8%France 2 - 0 Spain7%France 2 - 2 Spain7%France 3 - 1 Spain5%France 0 - 2 Spain4%France 1 - 3 Spain3%France 3 - 2 Spain3%France 2 - 3 Spain2%France 3 - 0 Spain2%France 3 - 3 Spain1%France 0 - 3 Spain1%
$8.2M vol17 markets

France vs. Spain

France41%Draw (France vs. Spain)30%Spain30%
$10.3M vol3 markets

NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year

Cameron Boozer22%Darryn Peterson18%AJ Dybantsa17%Caleb Wilson17%Darius Acuff Jr.8%Mikel Brown Jr.6%Keaton Wagler4%Yaxel Lendeborg2%Chris Cenac Jr.<1%Brayden Burries<1%Christian Anderson<1%Jayden Quaintance<1%Labaron Philon Jr.<1%Kingston Flemings<1%Tarris Reed Jr.<1%Zuby Ejiofor<1%Hannes Steinbach<1%Joshua Jefferson<1%Allen Graves<1%Nate Ament<1%Morez Johnson Jr.<1%Alex Karaban<1%Bennett Stirtz<1%Ebuka Okorie<1%Karim López<1%Koa Peat<1%Aday Mara<1%Cameron Carr<1%Sergio De Larrea<1%Dailyn Swain<1%
$5.1M vol30 markets

NBA

NBA: LeBron James Next Team

Cleveland Cavaliers42%Golden State Warriors28%Miami Heat17%Philadelphia 76ers9%Minnesota Timberwolves4%San Antonio Spurs<1%New York Knicks<1%Denver Nuggets<1%Dallas Mavericks<1%Los Angeles Lakers<1%Washington Wizards<1%Los Angeles Clippers<1%Indiana Pacers<1%Detroit Pistons<1%Memphis Grizzlies<1%Portland Trail Blazers<1%Orlando Magic<1%Utah Jazz<1%Brooklyn Nets<1%Oklahoma City Thunder<1%Sacramento Kings<1%Chicago Bulls<1%New Orleans Pelicans<1%Boston Celtics<1%Toronto Raptors<1%Charlotte Hornets<1%Houston Rockets<1%Milwaukee Bucks<1%Atlanta Hawks<1%Phoenix Suns<1%
$19.9M vol30 markets

NBA: 2027 Champion

Oklahoma City Thunder26%San Antonio Spurs19%Philadelphia 76ers8%New York Knicks8%Boston Celtics5%Toronto Raptors4%Miami Heat4%Denver Nuggets4%Cleveland Cavaliers4%Minnesota Timberwolves4%Detroit Pistons3%Golden State Warriors2%Los Angeles Lakers2%Washington Wizards2%Indiana Pacers2%Houston Rockets2%Phoenix Suns1%Utah Jazz1%Portland Trail Blazers1%Atlanta Hawks<1%Los Angeles Clippers<1%Dallas Mavericks<1%Orlando Magic<1%Charlotte Hornets<1%Milwaukee Bucks<1%Sacramento Kings<1%Memphis Grizzlies<1%New Orleans Pelicans<1%Chicago Bulls<1%Brooklyn Nets<1%
$5.7M vol30 markets

NBA: Kawhi Leonard Next Team

Toronto Raptors91%Los Angeles Clippers9%Golden State Warriors<1%Cleveland Cavaliers<1%Chicago Bulls<1%New York Knicks<1%Brooklyn Nets<1%Portland Trail Blazers<1%Detroit Pistons<1%Orlando Magic<1%Sacramento Kings<1%Memphis Grizzlies<1%Atlanta Hawks<1%Los Angeles Lakers<1%Miami Heat<1%Boston Celtics<1%San Antonio Spurs<1%Indiana Pacers<1%Houston Rockets<1%Dallas Mavericks<1%Charlotte Hornets<1%Washington Wizards<1%Utah Jazz<1%Minnesota Timberwolves<1%Phoenix Suns<1%Oklahoma City Thunder<1%Milwaukee Bucks<1%New Orleans Pelicans<1%Philadelphia 76ers<1%Denver Nuggets<1%
$164K vol30 markets

NBA: How Much Will LeBron’s Next Contract Be?

$4M-$10M38%Under $4M33%$15M-$50M28%$10M-$15M10%Over $50M3%
$72K vol5 markets

NBA: 2027 Eastern Conference Champion

New York Knicks17%Boston Celtics14%Philadelphia 76ers14%Cleveland Cavaliers11%Toronto Raptors11%Miami Heat9%Detroit Pistons8%Washington Wizards7%Atlanta Hawks5%Indiana Pacers4%Orlando Magic3%Charlotte Hornets2%Milwaukee Bucks<1%Brooklyn Nets<1%Chicago Bulls<1%
$27K vol15 markets

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

2%
Yes
$236K vol1 market

Crypto

Bitcoin above ___ on July 14?

54,000100%58,000100%56,000100%60,00099%62,00084%64,0005%66,000<1%72,000<1%68,000<1%74,000<1%70,000<1%
$1.2M vol11 markets

What price will Bitcoin hit in July?

↓ 60,000100%↓ 62,500100%↑ 62,500100%↑ 62,500100%↑ 65,00063%↓ 60,00057%↑ 67,50032%↓ 57,50028%↓ 55,00016%↑ 70,00014%↓ 52,5007%↑ 72,5005%↓ 50,0003%↑ 75,0002%↓ 47,5002%↓ 45,000<1%↑ 77,500<1%↑ 80,000<1%↓ 42,500<1%↑ 82,500<1%↓ 40,000<1%↑ 100,000<1%↓ 37,500<1%
$8.3M vol23 markets

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

↓ 75,000100%↑ 75,000100%↓ 60,000100%↑ 80,000100%↑ 65,000100%↑ 70,000100%↓ 65,000100%↓ 60,000100%↑ 90,000100%↓ 85,000100%↑ 65,00090%↑ 70,00069%↓ 55,00060%↑ 75,00051%↓ 50,00042%↓ 45,00032%↑ 80,00029%↑ 85,00021%↓ 40,00021%↑ 90,00018%↓ 35,00013%↑ 95,00013%↓ 30,00010%↑ 100,00010%↑ 110,0006%↓ 25,0006%↑ 120,0005%↓ 20,0004%↑ 130,0004%↑ 140,0003%↑ 150,0003%↑ 160,0003%↓ 10,0003%↓ 15,0002%↓ 5,0002%↑ 190,0002%↑ 180,0002%↑ 170,0002%↑ 200,0002%↑ 250,0001%↑ 500,0001%↑ 1,000,000<1%↓ 60,000-
$47.3M vol43 markets

What price will Ethereum hit in July?

↓ 1,800100%↑ 1,800100%↑ 1,800100%↑ 1,700100%↓ 1,800100%↑ 1,800100%↓ 1,600100%↑ 1,80093%↓ 1,70063%↑ 1,90051%↓ 1,60032%↑ 2,00024%↓ 1,50014%↑ 2,10011%↓ 1,4007%↑ 2,2005%↓ 1,3004%↑ 2,3003%↑ 2,4002%↓ 1,2002%↑ 2,5001%↓ 1,100<1%↓ 900<1%↓ 1,000<1%↓ 800<1%↓ 700<1%
$1.9M vol26 markets

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

↓ 2,500100%↓ 2,000100%↑ 1,750100%↑ 1,750100%↑ 2,00071%↓ 1,50063%↑ 2,25048%↓ 1,25032%↑ 2,50025%↑ 2,75020%↓ 1,00016%↑ 3,00013%↑ 3,50010%↓ 8008%↑ 4,0007%↓ 7006%↑ 4,5006%↓ 6005%↑ 5,0005%↑ 5,5003%↑ 6,0003%↑ 6,5003%↓ 5003%↑ 7,0002%↑ 7,5002%↑ 8,0002%↑ 10,0002%
$7.9M vol27 markets

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

38%
Yes
$1.7M vol1 market

Tech

Which company has best AI model end of July?

Anthropic96%Google4%OpenAI<1%Meituan<1%Baidu<1%Meta<1%Mistral<1%DeepSeek<1%Z.ai<1%xAI<1%Microsoft<1%ByteDance<1%Moonshot<1%Amazon<1%Alibaba<1%
$6.3M vol15 markets

Largest Company end of July?

NVIDIA86%Apple13%Alphabet2%Amazon<1%Saudi Aramco<1%Tesla<1%Microsoft<1%Broadcom<1%
$2.3M vol8 markets

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA67%Apple16%Alphabet12%SpaceX1%Tesla<1%Microsoft<1%Amazon<1%Saudi Aramco<1%
$4.2M vol8 markets

Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?

Paramount82%None by June 30, 202711%Netflix<1%Comcast<1%
$1.2M vol4 markets

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Caesars Entertainment100%iRobot100%Cursor100%Warner Bros. Discovery100%Pizza Hut100%MGM Resorts85%Viking Therapeutics44%Brown-Forman42%Perplexity AI22%Snapchat21%GitLab18%Lovable17%Zoom Video Communications16%PayPal16%Nebius Group13%Ubisoft12%BP12%OpenAI6%Anthropic6%
$18.1M vol19 markets

Human moon landing in 2026?

3%
Yes
$2.0M vol1 market

Culture

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in July 2026?

↑ $70100%↑ $80100%↑ $8562%↑ $9031%↑ $9516%↑ $10010%↓ $6510%↑ $1057%↑ $1104%↓ $603%↑ $1153%↑ $1202%↓ $551%↑ $1301%↓ $50<1%↓ $45<1%↓ $40<1%↓ $30<1%↓ $20<1%↓ $10<1%
$4.6M vol20 markets

Iran military action against a gulf state on...?

July 12100%July 9100%July 1492%July 1391%July 1565%July 1857%July 1952%July 1650%July 1747%July 2139%July 2035%July 2334%July 2433%July 2830%July 2227%July 2626%July 2724%July 3024%July 2524%July 3123%July 2918%July 118%July 100%
$1.2M vol23 markets

England vs. Argentina

England36%Draw (England vs. Argentina)33%Argentina31%
$1.3M vol3 markets

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

Kylian Mbappe56%Lionel Messi34%Harry Kane5%Jude Bellingham4%Ousmane Dembele1%Mikel Oyarzabal<1%Marcus Thuram<1%Dani Olmo<1%Bradley Barcola<1%Julian Alvarez<1%Michael Olise<1%Desire Doue<1%Lautaro Martinez<1%Ferran Torres<1%Lamine Yamal<1%Pedri<1%Bukayo Saka<1%Deniz Undav0%Rodrygo0%Antoine Semenyo0%Luis Javier Suárez0%Luis Diaz0%Memphis Depay0%Ivan Perišić0%Donyell Malen0%Cristiano Ronaldo0%Sadio Mane0%Romelu Lukaku0%Tim Payne0%Viktor Gyökeres0%Amad Diallo0%Heung-Min Son0%Serge Gnabry0%Dion Beljo0%Kai Havertz0%Endrick0%Noah Okafor0%Edin Džeko0%Depay Memphis0%Rafael Leao0%Igor Thiago0%Federico Valverde0%Scott McTominay0%Vinicius Junior0%Andrej Kramarić0%Cody Gakpo0%Bruno Fernandes0%Florian Wirtz0%Mohamed Salah0%Raphinha0%Folarin Balogun0%Erling Haaland0%
$55.9M vol52 markets

World Cup: Golden Ball Winner

Kylian Mbappé41%Lionel Messi30%Jude Bellingham19%Harry Kane5%Michael Olise3%Lamine Yamal2%Ousmane Dembélé2%Rodri2%Pedri<1%Vinícius Jr.<1%Florian Wirtz<1%Bruno Fernandes<1%Declan Rice<1%Neymar<1%Bukayo Saka<1%Rayan Cherki<1%Erling Haaland<1%Vitinha<1%Gavi<1%Cristiano Ronaldo<1%
$7.3M vol20 markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

<1%
Yes
$10.3M vol1 market
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