War risk premia and oil prices will go down due to focus on ending the war.
2
A newfound focus on ending the war is very bullish for markets.
3
A newfound focus on ending the war is very bullish, causing war risk premia and oil to go down; once the war is over, a continued multi-asset bull market is quasi guaranteed.
4
Once the war is over, a continued multi asset bull market is quasi guaranteed.
5
A newfound focus on ending the war will be very bullish, causing war risk premia and oil to go down.
6
Mag 7 (ex TSLA), solar energy, and long bonds will benefit from going risk-on over the 3-month post-midterm horizon; it is too soon to fade the midterms for TSLA.
7
The blue sweep should reduce war-risk premia.
8
It is time to go risk-on and bet on historical post-midterm seasonality, expecting positive price action for risk assets over the next 3 months.
9
The optimal trade is to fade capex/earnings fears and a hawkish Fed from early December or once Iran clears; long the long end of rates is a great trade up to Q1 inclusive, with a debt ceiling episode hitting in H2.
10
Earnings will be a major risk in the short term, but many stocks (like Meta) will be attractive on a 3-month window.