- YES
- This market resolves YES if total US employment in professional and business services for December 2027, as first published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), is 20,343,000 or lower. Otherwise it resolves NO. The figure is the seasonally adjusted Current Employment Statistics series CES6000000001 (all employees, professional and business services, in thousands), so YES requires a published value of 20,343 or lower. That is at least 10% below the 22,604,000 BLS published for October 2026. The first published December 2027 figure, in the Employment Situation release of January 2028, controls; later revisions, including the annual benchmark revision, do not change the result. The cause of any decline does not matter. A change in BLS methods or industry definitions counts if BLS still publishes the series under that name. If BLS has not published the December 2027 figure by January 31, 2028 11:59 p.m. ET, for example because of a government shutdown, the market resolves on the most recent month BLS has published by then. Settled using the data at https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CES6000000001. The primary resolution source is bls.gov (the Employment Situation release and series CES6000000001). If that source is unavailable, ambiguous, or silent, this market resolves according to a consensus of credible reporting: at least two independent, reputable news organizations or official sources (for example Reuters, the Associated Press, Bloomberg, The Wall Street Journal, or the relevant court, agency or company) reporting that the condition was or was not met within the stated window. Opinion pieces, social media posts, and reports relying on a single anonymous source do not count.
- NO
- The YES condition is not met by the event deadline.
- Offer expires
- Dec 11, 1:36 AM PT
- Ends
- Jan 31, 2028