- YES
- This market resolves YES if sports make up less than 75% of prediction-market trading volume in March 2027 (March 1 through March 31, 2027), as stated in Volume Race's monthly report for March 2027 (volumerace.com/reports). Otherwise it resolves NO. The figure is the report's total sports share of notional volume (contracts traded times each contract's $1 payout) at the exchanges it covers: single-leg sports contracts plus combination (parlay) contracts. A sports contract is one whose outcome depends on a game, match, race, player statistic or season result in a professional, collegiate or esports competition. The figure as first published controls; later revisions do not count. A stated share of exactly 75% resolves NO. If Volume Race has published no March 2027 figure by April 30, 2027, the figure is the sports share, including combination contracts, of March 2027 notional volume on Kalshi and Polymarket as published by The Block (theblock.co/data/prediction-markets); if The Block has published none either, the same figure as published by DefiLlama (defillama.com). The primary resolution source is Volume Race's monthly report for March 2027, then The Block, then DefiLlama, as described above. If that source is unavailable, ambiguous, or silent, this market resolves according to a consensus of credible reporting: at least two independent, reputable news organizations or official sources (for example Reuters, the Associated Press, Bloomberg, The Wall Street Journal, or the relevant court, agency or company) reporting that the condition was or was not met within the stated window. Opinion pieces, social media posts, and reports relying on a single anonymous source do not count.
- NO
- The YES condition is not met by the event deadline.
- Offer expires
- Dec 11, 8:57 PM PT
- Ends
- Apr 30, 2027