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Will Kalshi's sports contracts be blocked in at least 8 US states on March 31, 2027?

Created by @ryanOffer expires in 26 days (Dec 11, 3:26 PM PT)
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YESAnyone
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NOAnyone
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Odds
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Offer expires
Dec 14, 10:46 PM PT
Amount
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To win
$100.00
YES
This market resolves YES if, on March 31, 2027 at 11:59 p.m. ET, KalshiEX LLC ("Kalshi") is barred from offering, or has stopped offering, sports event contracts to people located in at least 8 of the 50 US states and the District of Columbia. Otherwise it resolves NO. A state counts if, at that moment, either (a) an order of a state or federal court (including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, final judgment or court-approved settlement) is in force that prohibits Kalshi from offering sports event contracts to people in that state, or (b) Kalshi has stated publicly, or told its users, that people in that state cannot open new positions in its sports event contracts. Cease-and-desist letters, lawsuits, criminal charges and state laws count only through (a) or (b). An order that is stayed, vacated or reversed before that moment does not count. An order limited to tribal lands or to some sports only does not count. "Sports event contract" means a contract whose outcome depends on a game, match, race, player statistic or season result in a professional, collegiate or esports competition, including combination contracts made of them. Kalshi includes any successor or affiliate operating its exchange. If Kalshi stops offering sports event contracts in every state, the market resolves YES. The primary resolution source is the dockets of the issuing courts, the states' gaming regulators, and Kalshi's own statements to users. If that source is unavailable, ambiguous, or silent, this market resolves according to a consensus of credible reporting: at least two independent, reputable news organizations or official sources (for example Reuters, the Associated Press, Bloomberg, The Wall Street Journal, or the relevant court, agency or company) reporting that the condition was or was not met within the stated window. Opinion pieces, social media posts, and reports relying on a single anonymous source do not count.
NO
The YES condition is not met by the event deadline.
Offer expires
Dec 11, 3:26 PM PT
Ends
Mar 31, 2027
Result source
  • betfirm.comhttps://www.betfirm.com/prediction-markets-by-state/

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